Match Info

ACB - Round 25

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Coliseum da Coruna (La Coruña)

Referee: Sanchez C. (Esp)


	Básquet Coruña		Girona

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.4
	1.61	2.34	Watch
	1.59	2.34	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.58	2.4	Watch
	1.61	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.44)	2.37 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Básquet Coruña
59.9%

Girona
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Básquet Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Básquet Coruña's form might have worsened.

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Girona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Básquet Coruña than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Básquet Coruña, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Girona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Básquet Coruña - Girona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Barrueta Y.	2. Fjellerup M.
33. Thompkins T.	29. Susinskas M.
12. Diagne A.	12. Geben M.
6. Scrubb P.	6. Marcos J.
11. Taylor B.	0. Iroegbu I.
Substitutes
77. Burjanadze B.	4. Busquets J.
22. Font A.	42. Durham A.
13. Heurtel T.	21. Fernandez J.
7. Jakovics I.	9. Ferrando G.
31. Lima	23. Martinez S.
9. Lundqvist K.	5. Pons Y.
25. Silins K.	1. Sibande N.
Coaches
. Epifanio D.	. Katsikaris F.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera FEB and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Básquet Coruña won 1.

Básquet Coruña is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Girona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Básquet Coruña will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Básquet Coruña won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 454:496 (average 75.7:82.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Básquet Coruña won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 148:181 (average 74:90.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Básquet Coruña
Spanish ACB League
22.03.25	Valencia - Básquet Coruña	127:81 ✺
16.03.25	Básquet Coruña - CB Breogán	98:106 ✺
09.03.25	Basquet Manresa - Básquet Coruña	104:89 ✺
01.03.25	Básquet Coruña - Força Lleida CE	97:84 ✺
08.02.25	Joventut Badalona - Básquet Coruña	107:104 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Bàsquet Girona
Spanish ACB League
22.03.25	Girona - Gran Canaria 2014	86:95 ✺
15.03.25	UCAM Murcia - Girona	64:76 ✺
08.03.25	Girona - Joventut Badalona	83:76 ✺
02.03.25	Bilbao Basket - Girona	96:83 ✺
09.02.25	Girona - Basket Zaragoza	89:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
14.12.24	Girona - Básquet Coruña	81:98
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
02.06.22	Básquet Coruña - Girona	76:85
28.05.22	Girona - Básquet Coruña	92:62
26.05.22	Girona - Básquet Coruña	74:66
20.03.22	Básquet Coruña - Girona	72:96
14.11.21	Girona - Básquet Coruña	68:80

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