Match Info

EUROPE: Euroleague Women - Second stage - Round 5

Date: 22 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pabellon Municipal Wurzburg (Salamanca)


	CB Avenida		Bourges Basket

	1	2
	3.25	1.3
	17	1
	2.38	1.56
	6.79	1.01
	6.72	1.08	Watch
	7.5	1.07
	8.5	1.07
	2.38	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.82 ↑ (1.76)	1.21 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 141.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-29)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CB Avenida
15%

Bourges Basket
85%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CB Avenida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-37.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CB Avenida's form might have worsened.

Bourges Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+37.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bourges Basket's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CB Avenida than the current prediction. (+38%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CB Avenida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourges Basket than the current prediction. (-38%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bourges Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

CB Avenida - Bourges Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: Bourges Basket will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 57:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Carter A.	18. Astier P.
8. Delaere A.	22. Diaby K.
30. Gil L.	7. Green M.
3. Kone S.	0. Okonkwo A.
10. Martin I.	25. Spanou A.
Substitutes
34. Fasoula M.	27. Bourgeois J.
12. Jankovic M.	21. Guapo L.
11. Jespersen M.	26. Pitarch-Granel I.
13. Vilaro A.	32. Pouye T.
	24. Selle M.
Coaches
. Montanana A.	. Lafargue O.

Preview

Recent matches Avenida is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bourges is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bourges could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bourges is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avenida won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 307:320 (average 61.4:64).

Including matches at home between the teams Avenida won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 122:98 (average 61:49).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Avenida
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
19.01.25	Zaragoza - CB Avenida	72:64 ✺
Euroleague Women
15.01.25	CBK Mersin - CB Avenida	79:62 ✺
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
11.01.25	CB Avenida - Ardoi	91:62 ✺
Euroleague Women
08.01.25	CB Avenida - Zabiny Brno	64:58 ✺
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
04.01.25	Uni Girona - CB Avenida	58:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW
- Bourges Basket
French Cup Basketball Women
18.01.25	Bourges Basket - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	58:56 ✺
Euroleague Women
15.01.25	Bourges Basket - Basket Landes	75:61 ✺
French LFB
11.01.25	Bourges Basket - Basket Landes	93:53 ✺
Euroleague Women
07.01.25	Famila Schio - Bourges Basket	67:62 ✺
French LFB
04.01.25	Avenir Basket Chartres - Bourges Basket	77:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague Women
18.12.24	Bourges Basket - CB Avenida	80:67
15.02.17	Bourges Basket - CB Avenida	69:63
14.12.16	CB Avenida - Bourges Basket	63:50
18.02.15	Bourges Basket - CB Avenida	73:55
17.12.14	CB Avenida - Bourges Basket	59:48

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