Match Info

EUROPE: Euroleague Women - Second stage - Round 1

Date: 11 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Pabellon Municipal Wurzburg (Salamanca)


	CB Avenida		CBK Mersin

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.65
	2.15	1.71
	2.04	1.76	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.12	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.56)	1.69 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CB Avenida
44.2%

CBK Mersin
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CB Avenida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CB Avenida's performance.

CBK Mersin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CBK Mersin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CB Avenida than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CB Avenida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CBK Mersin than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CBK Mersin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

CB Avenida - CBK Mersin Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Avenida will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). CBK Mersin will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:72

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vilaro A.	00. Howard N.
3. Kone S.	5. Thornton K.
30. Gil L.	1. Anderson Y.
23. Carter A.	44. Samuelson K.
10. Martin I.	12. Rupert I.
Substitutes
1. Cornelius L.	3. Akalan S.
8. Delaere A.	8. Araujo M.
6. Dominguez S.	10. Atas S.
34. Fasoula M.	4. Fauthoux M.
21. Harrigan M.	2. Magarity R.
12. Jankovic M.	0. Yalcin A.
	9. Yaya D.
Coaches
. Montanana A.	. Lapena V.

Preview

Avenida in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches CBK Mersin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

CBK Mersin will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Avenida won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 312:284 (average 78:71).

Including matches at home between the teams Avenida won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 150:122 (average 75:61).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Avenida
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
07.12.24	Araski AES - CB Avenida	65:93 ✺
05.12.24	Valencia - CB Avenida	81:93 ✺
30.11.24	CB Avenida - Gernika Bizkaia	76:56 ✺
Euroleague Women
27.11.24	CB Avenida - Diósgyőri VTK Miskolc	67:55 ✺
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
23.11.24	Estudiantes - CB Avenida	56:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW
- CBK Mersin
Turkish Basketball League Women
07.12.24	CBK Mersin - Kayseri Basketbol	79:73 ✺
Turkish Super Cup Basketball Women
04.12.24	Fenerbahçe - CBK Mersin	65:64 ✺
Turkish Basketball League Women
30.11.24	Fenerbahçe - CBK Mersin	82:69 ✺
Euroleague Women
27.11.24	CBK Mersin - Olympiacos Piraeus	87:58 ✺
Turkish Basketball League Women
24.11.24	CBK Mersin - Orman Gençlik	80:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague Women
06.12.23	CB Avenida - CBK Mersin	67:56
04.10.23	CBK Mersin - CB Avenida	77:82
04.01.23	CBK Mersin - CB Avenida	85:80
26.10.22	CB Avenida - CBK Mersin	83:66

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