Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - Round 16

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Pazo dos Deportes (Lugo)

Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)


	CB Breogán		Básquet Coruña

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.8
	1.42	2.85	Watch
	1.44	2.81	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.45	2.78	Watch
	1.42	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.58)	2.79 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CB Breogán
66%

Básquet Coruña
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CB Breogán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CB Breogán's performance.

Básquet Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Básquet Coruña might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CB Breogán than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CB Breogán that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Básquet Coruña than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Básquet Coruña could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CB Breogán - Básquet Coruña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Atic E.	23. Barrueta Y.
99. Nakic T.	77. Burjanadze B.
18. Sakho J.	8. Huskic G.
11. Hilliard D.	9. Lundqvist K.
3. Grant D.	11. Taylor B.
Substitutes
8. Apic D.	12. Diagne A.
17. Aranitovic A.	22. Font A.
15. Egbunu J.	30. Hernandez A.
19. Mavra D.	7. Jakovics I.
23. Quintela E.	6. Scrubb P.
30. Somogyi A.	0. Thiam O.
4. Vila Martinez E.	33. Thompkins T.
Coaches
. Casimiro L.	. Epifanio D.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera FEB).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Breogán won 4.

Recent matches Breogán is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Básquet Coruña is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Breogán could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Breogán will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Breogán won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1363:1297 (average 80.2:76.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Breogán won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 668:590 (average 83.5:73.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Breogán
Spanish ACB League
04.01.25	BC Andorra - CB Breogán	93:101 ✺
02.01.25	CB Breogán - Basquet Manresa	79:88 ✺
28.12.24	Unicaja Malaga - CB Breogán	86:77 ✺
21.12.24	CB Breogán - Girona	77:74 ✺
15.12.24	Real Madrid - CB Breogán	106:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWL
- Básquet Coruña
Spanish ACB League
08.01.25	Baskonia - Básquet Coruña	114:66 ✺
05.01.25	Básquet Coruña - Valencia	91:99 ✺
28.12.24	Básquet Coruña - Bilbao Basket	79:100 ✺
22.12.24	Básquet Coruña - Joventut Badalona	85:94 ✺
14.12.24	Girona - Básquet Coruña	81:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
09.01.21	CB Breogán - Básquet Coruña	68:72
01.12.20	Básquet Coruña - CB Breogán	60:70
21.12.19	CB Breogán - Básquet Coruña	96:55
Club Friendly Basketball
16.09.18	Básquet Coruña - CB Breogán	64:84
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
20.04.18	Básquet Coruña - CB Breogán	86:93
29.12.17	CB Breogán - Básquet Coruña	84:73
24.03.17	CB Breogán - Básquet Coruña	104:73

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