Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	CB Lucentum Alicante		Básquet Coruña

	1	2
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.6	1.4	Watch
	2.63	1.42	Watch
	2.7	1.4
	2.77	1.39
	1.86	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (1.84)	1.46 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CB Lucentum Alicante
36.2%

Básquet Coruña
63.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CB Lucentum Alicante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CB Lucentum Alicante's form might have worsened.

Básquet Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Básquet Coruña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CB Lucentum Alicante than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CB Lucentum Alicante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Básquet Coruña than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Básquet Coruña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

CB Lucentum Alicante - Básquet Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CB Lucentum Alicante will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Básquet Coruña will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. CB Lucentum Alicante (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Básquet Coruña (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Geu D.	34. Barro S.
21. Jorda A.	4. Jorgensen P.
13. Larsen K.	5. Jou Coll G.
15. Richardson T.	9. Pacheco C.
33. Torres M.	8. Radoncic D.
Substitutes
12. Boubacar C.	6. Braz M.
4. Ceccardi S.	13. Brnovic D.
24. Llorente S.	24. Cremo J.
8. Mwema J.	00. Cuevas D.
10. Polanco E.	50. Diaz J.
9. Val Gutierrez S.	21. Ilimane D.
14. Villen I.	44. Thiam A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CB Lucentum Alicante won 2.

Recent performances by CB Lucentum Alicante have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Básquet Coruña is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Básquet Coruña might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, CB Lucentum Alicante won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 666:700. (average 74:77.8).

Including home matches between the teams, CB Lucentum Alicante won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 326:289. (average 81.5:72.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Alicante	2	2	0	177:146	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Lucentum Alicante
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.26	Menorca - CB Lucentum Alicante	81:66 ✺
28.12.25	CB Lucentum Alicante - Cartagena	95:77 ✺
21.12.25	Burgos - CB Lucentum Alicante	72:85 ✺
16.12.25	CB Lucentum Alicante - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	91:86 ✺
12.12.25	CB Lucentum Alicante - Oviedo	88:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWWL
- Básquet Coruña
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.26	Básquet Coruña - Estela	102:67 ✺
28.12.25	Obradoiro CAB - Básquet Coruña	103:99 ✺
20.12.25	Cartagena - Básquet Coruña	80:89 ✺
17.12.25	Básquet Coruña - Ourense	94:77 ✺
13.12.25	Zamora - Básquet Coruña	69:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
19.04.24	CB Lucentum Alicante - Básquet Coruña	84:74
15.10.23	Básquet Coruña - CB Lucentum Alicante	79:74
31.03.23	CB Lucentum Alicante - Básquet Coruña	91:76
02.12.22	Básquet Coruña - CB Lucentum Alicante	86:69
23.04.22	CB Lucentum Alicante - Básquet Coruña	66:79
16.02.22	Básquet Coruña - CB Lucentum Alicante	75:61
01.05.21	Básquet Coruña - CB Lucentum Alicante	71:64

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