Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 25

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	CB Lucentum Alicante		Obradoiro CAB

	1	2
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	3.05	1.3
	3.47	1.3
	3.17	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.29
	3.21	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.97)	1.31 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CB Lucentum Alicante
29.2%

Obradoiro CAB
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CB Lucentum Alicante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Obradoiro CAB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CB Lucentum Alicante than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CB Lucentum Alicante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obradoiro CAB than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Obradoiro CAB, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

CB Lucentum Alicante - Obradoiro CAB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Bone J.	28. Barcello A.
23. Geu D.	23. Barrueta Y.
7. Hollanders S.	7. dos Anjos F.
13. Larsen K.	57. Galan A.
33. Torres M.	9. Westermann L.
Substitutes
12. Boubacar C.	5. Andersson D.
21. Jorda A.	24. Brito D.
2. Joseph Y.	16. Etxeguren A.
3. Mendikote U.	11. Kravic D.
8. Mwema J.	22. Munnings T.
10. Polanco E.	25. Quintela S.
14. Villen I.	10. Rojas A.

Preview

CB Lucentum Alicante has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Obradoiro is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Obradoiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Obradoiro is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, CB Lucentum Alicante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 235:254. (average 78.3:84.7).

Including home match between the teams, CB Lucentum Alicante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 90:85.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Alicante	2	2	0	177:146	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Lucentum Alicante
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
11.03.26	Fibwi Palma - CB Lucentum Alicante	102:104 OT ✺
08.03.26	Básquet Coruña - CB Lucentum Alicante	83:74 ✺
21.02.26	CB Lucentum Alicante - Menorca	58:76 ✺
15.02.26	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - CB Lucentum Alicante	87:90 ✺
11.02.26	CB Lucentum Alicante - Melilla	78:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWW
- Obradoiro CAB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
10.03.26	Obradoiro CAB - Cartagena	101:49 ✺
07.03.26	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Obradoiro CAB	77:97 ✺
15.02.26	Melilla - Obradoiro CAB	70:92 ✺
10.02.26	Obradoiro CAB - Menorca	100:86 OT ✺
07.02.26	Zamora - Obradoiro CAB	77:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
17.01.26	Obradoiro CAB - CB Lucentum Alicante	87:75
22.04.25	Obradoiro CAB - CB Lucentum Alicante	82:70
04.01.25	CB Lucentum Alicante - Obradoiro CAB	90:85

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