Match Info

RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 January 2025, Wednesday


	CSKA 2		MBA Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.89		1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.2)		1.22 ↓ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 2
23.9%

MBA Moscow
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSKA 2's form might have worsened.

MBA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MBA Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA 2 than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MBA Moscow than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MBA Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Ilvovskiy M.	6. Ismailov P.
44. Kopantsev G.	38. Konovalov M.
33. Lavrenov Z.	16. Trushkin V.
14. Shirinkin V.	18. Voronov E.
21. Zaytsev I.	20. Zubkov A.
Substitutes
34. Abramov D.	11. Barashkov M.
1. Ermakov I.	21. Belousov I.
4. Evseev A.	9. Kasatkin D.
0. Nikonov Y.	23. Lichutin M.
52. Pechkin A.	14. Minchenko E.
22. Pronin M.	95. Pevnev D.
16. Sadikov N.	22. Sheiko G.

Preview

1st leg.

Last 5 head-to-head matches CSKA 2 won 2.

CSKA 2 in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

MBA is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CSKA 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 14 head-to-head matches CSKA 2 won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1120:1131 (average 80:80.8).

Including matches at home between the teams CSKA 2 won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 662:648 (average 82.8:81).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Moscow 2 Basketball
Russian Cup Basketball
25.12.24	BC Novosibirsk - CSKA 2	70:78
Russian Super League Basketball
22.12.24	CSKA 2 - Tambov	75:64 ✺
18.12.24	BC Novosibirsk - CSKA 2	58:85 ✺
15.12.24	Barnaul - CSKA 2	71:82 ✺
10.12.24	CSKA 2 - Bars-RGEU Rostov	88:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- MBA Moscow
VTB United League
05.01.25	MBA Moscow - Nizhny Novgorod	84:76 ✺
26.12.24	Uralmash - MBA Moscow	85:60 ✺
21.12.24	MBA Moscow - UNICS	71:117 ✺
18.12.24	Lokomotiv-Kuban - MBA Moscow	84:65 ✺
15.12.24	CSKA Moscow - MBA Moscow	84:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Super League Basketball
14.02.22	MBA Moscow - CSKA 2	80:77
28.11.21	CSKA 2 - MBA Moscow	76:80
19.01.21	MBA Moscow - CSKA 2	81:84
31.10.20	CSKA 2 - MBA Moscow	71:77
Club Friendly Basketball
18.09.20	CSKA 2 - MBA Moscow	83:71
Russian Super League Basketball
04.03.20	MBA Moscow - CSKA 2	94:80
26.11.19	CSKA 2 - MBA Moscow	86:100

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