Match Info

BULGARIA: NBL - WINNERS STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Hall Sofia (Sofia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2


	CSKA Sofia		Spartak Pleven

	1	2
	2.1	1.62
	1.99	1.69
	2.08	1.75
	2.08	1.76
	2.05	1.7
	2.08	1.69
	1.99	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.97)	1.7 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Sofia
45.3%

Spartak Pleven
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Spartak Pleven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Pleven than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

CSKA Sofia - Spartak Pleven Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:85

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 4.

CSKA Sofia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Spartak Pleven is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

CSKA Sofia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently CSKA Sofia have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 493-484.

Including matches at home between the teams CSKA Sofia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 331-320.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Sofia Basketball
Bulgarian Cup Basketball
15.03.24	Chernomorets - CSKA Sofia	92:66 ✺
Bulgarian NBL
09.03.24	Chernomorets - CSKA Sofia	78:68 ✺
06.03.24	Rilski Sportist - CSKA Sofia	92:84 ✺
16.02.24	Beroe - CSKA Sofia	92:98 ✺
12.02.24	CSKA Sofia - Balkan Botevgrad	78:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- BC Spartak Pleven
Bulgarian Cup Basketball
17.03.24	Spartak Pleven - Chernomorets	62:86 ✺
16.03.24	Balkan Botevgrad - Spartak Pleven	60:76 ✺
15.03.24	Spartak Pleven - Yambol	74:65 ✺
Bulgarian NBL
10.03.24	Rilski Sportist - Spartak Pleven	88:80 ✺
05.03.24	Spartak Pleven - Balkan Botevgrad	90:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian NBL
07.02.24	Spartak Pleven - CSKA Sofia	80:76
19.11.23	CSKA Sofia - Spartak Pleven	83:79
Bulgarian Cup Basketball
21.03.23	CSKA Sofia - Spartak Pleven	82:63
Bulgarian NBL
06.03.23	CSKA Sofia - Spartak Pleven	101:87
21.12.22	Spartak Pleven - CSKA Sofia	84:86
10.10.22	CSKA Sofia - Spartak Pleven	65:91

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