Match Info

ROMANIA: DIVIZIA A - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 21

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Sala Polivalenta Vrancea (Focsani)


	CSM Focșani		GSM Galaţi

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.45	2.45
	1.45	2.52
	1.47	2.65
	1.57	2.3
	1.45	2.62
	1.46	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.65)	2.49 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSM Focșani
62.8%

GSM Galaţi
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSM Focșani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CSM Focșani's performance.

GSM Galaţi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and GSM Galaţi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CSM Focșani than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CSM Focșani that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GSM Galaţi than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that GSM Galaţi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CSM Focșani - GSM Galaţi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:78

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Focșani won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Galaţi have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Focșani won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1103-1286.

Including matches at home between the teams Focșani won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 506-586.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSM Focșani Basketball
Romanian Divizia A Basketball
03.02.24	CSM Focșani - Târgu Jiu	75:93 ✺
27.01.24	Timișoara - CSM Focșani	98:69 ✺
20.01.24	CSU Sibiu - CSM Focșani	71:78 ✺
12.01.24	CSM Focșani - CSM Oradea	67:95 ✺
06.01.24	Vâlcea - CSM Focșani	96:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWLL
- GSM Galaţi
Romanian Divizia A Basketball
03.02.24	GSM Galaţi - Vâlcea	106:118 ✺
27.01.24	GSM Galaţi - SCM CSU Craiova	74:75 ✺
20.01.24	GSM Galaţi - Voluntari	80:106 ✺
13.01.24	GSM Galaţi - Rapid Bucureşti	74:106 ✺
11.01.24	Laguna Bucuresti - GSM Galaţi	59:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Cup Basketball
16.09.23	GSM Galaţi - CSM Focșani	88:77
Romanian Divizia A Basketball
08.01.23	GSM Galaţi - CSM Focșani	86:67
29.10.22	CSM Focșani - GSM Galaţi	73:89
Romanian Cup Basketball
02.10.22	CSM Focșani - GSM Galaţi	70:69
Romanian Divizia A Basketball
21.04.22	GSM Galaţi - CSM Focșani	82:70
15.01.22	CSM Focșani - GSM Galaţi	66:74
27.04.21	GSM Galaţi - CSM Focșani	76:69

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