Match Info

NBL1 North

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday


	Cairns Marlins		Southern Districts Spartans

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2
	1.73	2.02
	1.7	2.05
	1.69	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.53)	2.03 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 190.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cairns Marlins
54.3%

Southern Districts Spartans
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cairns Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cairns Marlins's form might have worsened.

Southern Districts Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southern Districts Spartans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cairns Marlins than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cairns Marlins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern Districts Spartans than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southern Districts Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cairns Marlins - Southern Districts Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:94

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Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Cairns may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cairns will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cairns won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 321:369. (average 80.3:92.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cairns won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 171:187. (average 85.5:93.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cairns Marlins
Australian NBL1 North
06.06.25	Cairns Marlins - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	63:79 ✺
31.05.25	Mackay Meteors - Cairns Marlins	108:103 OT ✺
30.05.25	Rockhampton Rockets - Cairns Marlins	109:81 ✺
17.05.25	Cairns Marlins - Brisbane Capitals	75:111 ✺
10.05.25	Logan Thunder - Cairns Marlins	85:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLLW
- Southern Districts Spartans
Australian NBL1 North
13.06.25	Townsville Heat - Southern Districts Spartans	103:95 ✺
07.06.25	Southern Districts Spartans - Rockhampton Rockets	96:117 ✺
31.05.25	Brisbane Capitals - Southern Districts Spartans	114:107 ✺
17.05.25	Southern Districts Spartans - Northside Wizards	83:79 ✺
10.05.25	Southern Districts Spartans - Brisbane Capitals	83:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 North
01.06.24	Southern Districts Spartans - Cairns Marlins	92:65
06.05.23	Cairns Marlins - Southern Districts Spartans	70:98
24.07.22	Southern Districts Spartans - Cairns Marlins	90:85
11.06.21	Cairns Marlins - Southern Districts Spartans	101:89

Cairns Marlins - Southern Districts Spartans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide