Match Info

CEBL

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: WinSport Arena (Calgary, AB) 🌤️ ...


	Calgary Surge		Winnipeg Sea Bears

	1	2
	2.55	1.46
	2.55	1.47
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 (2.55)	1.46 (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calgary Surge
36.5%

Winnipeg Sea Bears
63.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calgary Surge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Winnipeg Sea Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Surge than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winnipeg Sea Bears than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Arms A.	7. Akot E. (C)
31. Brown-Ferguson J.	8. Allen T.
1. Chaney A.	9. McGowens T.
0. Joplin D.	23. Osborne I.
00. Miller-Moore S.	35. Tilmon J.
Substitutes
23. Adelodun O.	13. Bilamu N.
89. Carry S.	55. Burns D.
11. Johnson M.	14. Filewich K.
10. Kamba M. (C)	15. Hildebrandt S.
9. Patterson A.	5. Kraus M.
	3. Watson-Gayle J.
Coaches
. Deaveiro D.	. Raimbault M.

Preview

Played with special rules.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 3.

Calgary has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Winnipeg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Calgary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Calgary has had a series of away games.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1071:1036. (average 89.3:86.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 642:564. (average 91.7:80.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calgary Surge
Canadian CEBL
12.07.26	Winnipeg Sea Bears - Calgary Surge	80:85 ✺
09.07.26	Calgary Surge - Vancouver Bandits	95:80 ✺
05.07.26	Vancouver Bandits - Calgary Surge	84:92 ✺
03.07.26	Saskatoon Mamba - Calgary Surge	96:92 ✺
01.07.26	Edmonton Stingers - Calgary Surge	95:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWWLL
- Winnipeg Sea Bears
Canadian CEBL
15.07.26	Saskatoon Mamba - Winnipeg Sea Bears	83:96 ✺
12.07.26	Winnipeg Sea Bears - Calgary Surge	80:85 ✺
09.07.26	Winnipeg Sea Bears - Edmonton Stingers	97:93 ✺
05.07.26	Edmonton Stingers - Winnipeg Sea Bears	98:100 ✺
30.06.26	Winnipeg Sea Bears - Saskatoon Mamba	107:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Canadian CEBL
12.07.26	Winnipeg Sea Bears - Calgary Surge	80:85
12.06.26	Winnipeg Sea Bears - Calgary Surge	92:72
22.08.25	Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears	90:79
27.07.25	Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears	78:79
17.07.25	Winnipeg Sea Bears - Calgary Surge	89:93
02.08.24	Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears	84:82
25.07.24	Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears	87:83

Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears