Match Info

SPAIN: Primera FEB - Round 7

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday

Location: Pabellon Ciutat de Castello (Castellón de la Plana)


	Castelló		Ourense

	1	2
	2.7	1.42
	2.4	1.48
	2.6	1.41	Watch
	2.66	1.47
	2.48	1.52	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.62	1.45
	2.6	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.7)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelló
35.7%

Ourense
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelló has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelló than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Castelló - Ourense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Castelló will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Ourense will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castelló: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Adala A.	00. Brito D.
8. Faner J.	35. Gill R.
97. Okouo V.	23. Krikke B.
42. Stutz F.	30. Lisboa R.
11. Tate J.	4. Rodriguez S.
Substitutes
7. Arcos G.	17. Fernandez M.
16. Etxeguren A.	3. Mendikote U.
33. Holgado Cuellar D.	1. Moody J.
13. Martinez A.	19. Paz Vazquez S.
14. Minlend C.	15. Rosa I.
00. Ngom T.	11. Santana J.
17. Roig A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castelló won 1.

Recent matches Castelló is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ourense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ourense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Castelló won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1081:1104 (average 77.2:78.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Castelló won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 549:546 (average 78.4:78).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AB Castelló
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
01.11.24	Burgos - Castelló	105:107 OT ✺
25.10.24	Castelló - Estela	89:68 ✺
19.10.24	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Castelló	94:74 ✺
11.10.24	Castelló - Zamora	72:84 ✺
06.10.24	Estudiantes - Castelló	108:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLL
- Ourense Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
02.11.24	Ourense - Morón	99:66 ✺
26.10.24	Ourense - Gipuzkoa Basket	76:83 ✺
19.10.24	Menorca - Ourense	65:84 ✺
12.10.24	Ourense - Estela	93:65 ✺
05.10.24	Oviedo - Ourense	63:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
13.03.24	Castelló - Ourense	78:81
07.10.23	Ourense - Castelló	93:80
05.02.23	Castelló - Ourense	76:64
14.10.22	Ourense - Castelló	78:74
24.01.20	Castelló - Ourense	78:86
06.10.19	Ourense - Castelló	82:65
16.02.19	Ourense - Castelló	72:82

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