Match Info

EUROPE: EUROCUP - ROUND 7

Date: 6 December 2022, Tuesday

Location: Arena Stožice (Ljubljana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Cedevita Olimpija		Ratiopharm Ulm

	1	2
	1.45	2.8	Watch
	1.45	2.6
	1.42	2.85
	1.44	2.75
	1.42	2.98
	1.44	2.85	Watch
	1.42	2.78	Watch
	1.43	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.75)	2.79 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cedevita Olimpija
66%

Ratiopharm Ulm
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cedevita Olimpija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cedevita Olimpija's performance.

Ratiopharm Ulm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ratiopharm Ulm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cedevita Olimpija than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cedevita Olimpija that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ratiopharm Ulm than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ratiopharm Ulm could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	0%	10.3%

Cedevita Olimpija - Ratiopharm Ulm Predictions

Users Predictions: Cedevita Olimpija will win (35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.22% – 99.26%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:84

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cedevita Olimpija could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cedevita Olimpija will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cedevita Olimpija won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 269-261.

Including matches at home between the teams Cedevita Olimpija won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 165-165.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cedevita Olimpija
Adriatic League
03.12.22	Cibona - Cedevita Olimpija	78:90 ✺
Eurocup
30.11.22	Lietkabelis - Cedevita Olimpija	104:98 ✺
Adriatic League
26.11.22	Cedevita Olimpija - KK Zadar	97:79 ✺
Eurocup
22.11.22	Cedevita Olimpija - Prometey	89:94 ✺
Adriatic League
19.11.22	Igokea - Cedevita Olimpija	74:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW
- Ratiopharm Ulm
Eurocup
30.11.22	Prometey - Ratiopharm Ulm	105:106 ✺
German BBL
27.11.22	Skyliners Frankfurt - Ratiopharm Ulm	82:97 ✺
Eurocup
23.11.22	Ratiopharm Ulm - Joventut Badalona	54:68 ✺
German BBL
20.11.22	Heidelberg - Ratiopharm Ulm	96:106 OT (88:88) ✺
05.11.22	Ratiopharm Ulm - Niners Chemnitz	93:99 OT (83:83) ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Eurocup
09.02.22	Ratiopharm Ulm - Cedevita Olimpija	96:104
10.11.21	Cedevita Olimpija - Ratiopharm Ulm	96:101 OT (71:71)
Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.19	Cedevita Olimpija - Ratiopharm Ulm	69:64

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