Match Info

Elite 2 - Round 8

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Salle Michel Vrignaud (Challans)


	Challans		ADA Blois

	1	2
			Watch
	3.55	1.23
	2.82	1.33	Watch
	3.57	1.26
	3.75	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.82)	1.26 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Challans
26.9%

ADA Blois
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Challans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Challans's form might have worsened.

ADA Blois has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ADA Blois's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Challans than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Challans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADA Blois than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADA Blois, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Challans - ADA Blois Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Bengaber G.	10. Alingue J. (C)
12. Diop M.	20. Morency R.
7. Morel C.	8. Soulhac T.
5. Sylla A. K.	32. Ugolin L.
6. Touze T. (C)	3. Vergiat T.
Substitutes
98. Berchel G.	16. Boulefaa J.
66. Bichard J.	0. Damase F.
19. Billong P.	7. Defoundoux S.
23. Conde C.	4. Demahis-Ballou L.
15. Moore M.	19. Mambo Y.
25. Moute R.	11. Nottage E.
	43. Sconard M.
Coaches
. Lambert S.	. Morabito D.

Preview

Recent form of Challans has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Blois has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Blois is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vendée Challans Basket
French Elite 2
24.10.25	Chorale Roanne - Challans	97:79 ✺
17.10.25	Challans - Saint Chamond	78:77 ✺
10.10.25	Stade Rochelais - Challans	81:62 ✺
French Cup Basketball
07.10.25	Challans - Stade Rochelais	78:98 ✺
French Elite 2
03.10.25	Challans - Hermine de Nantes Atlantique	71:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLL
- ADA Blois
French Elite 2
24.10.25	ADA Blois - SPO Rouen Basket	76:78 ✺
18.10.25	ADA Blois - Caen	75:72 ✺
10.10.25	Hyères-Toulon Var Basket - ADA Blois	64:86 ✺
03.10.25	Stade Rochelais - ADA Blois	89:63 ✺
30.09.25	ADA Blois - Vichy-Clermont	73:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWLW

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