Match Info

NBL - Round 23

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: DKS - Varna (Varna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1


	Cherno More Port Varna		Lokomotiv Plovdiv

	1	2
	1.32	2.95
	1.29	3.2
	1.34	2.92	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.34	2.99
	1.48	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.48)	2.9 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cherno More Port Varna
68.3%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cherno More Port Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cherno More Port Varna's performance.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lokomotiv Plovdiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherno More Port Varna than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cherno More Port Varna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Plovdiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cherno More Port Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:84

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Lineups


24. Boyanov G.	24. Anderson S.
15. Chernokozhev T.	6. Durev P.
17. Davis D.	13. Gluhchev R.
0. Gaffney A.	16. Kenderov G.
6. Hadjirusev E.	21. Kikrilis I.
21. Karacic I.	99. Krastanov K.
13. Marinov M.	15. Lilov M.
1. Moldov M.	33. Mihov K.
35. Petkov V.	14. Miller K.
8. Stoyanov N.	9. Minkov T.
3. Watson-Gayle J.	0. Ramsey D.
5. West L.	5. Singleton G.
Coaches
. Evtimov V.	. Nikolov A.

Preview

Cherno More has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Cherno More has had a series of away games.

Cherno More might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 281:255. (average 93.7:85).

Including home match between the teams, Cherno More won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 107:91.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Cherno More	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	Lok. Plovdiv	0	0	0	0:0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Cherno More Port Varna
Bulgarian NBL
04.03.26	Shumen - Cherno More Port Varna	86:92 ✺
Bulgarian Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Port Varna	87:88 ✺
21.02.26	Cherno More Port Varna - Balkan Botevgrad	77:76 ✺
20.02.26	Minyor - Cherno More Port Varna	91:105 ✺
Bulgarian NBL
08.02.26	Beroe - Cherno More Port Varna	84:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv Basketball
Bulgarian NBL
04.03.26	Minyor - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	109:103 ✺
Bulgarian Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Port Varna	87:88 ✺
21.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Rilski Sportist	100:99 OT ✺
19.02.26	Beroe - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	101:117 ✺
Bulgarian NBL
15.02.26	Spartak Pleven - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	79:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Cup Basketball
22.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Port Varna	87:88
Bulgarian NBL
20.12.25	Cherno More Port Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	107:91
06.10.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Port Varna	77:86

Cherno More Port Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide