Match Info

FRANCE: LNB - ROUND 11

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Chorale Roanne		Limoges

	1	2
	1.65	2.35
	1.57	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.67	2.27
	1.67	2.28
	1.6	2.4
	1.6	2.38
	1.62	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.8)	2.32 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorale Roanne
58.8%

Limoges
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorale Roanne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chorale Roanne's performance.

Limoges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Limoges might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorale Roanne than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chorale Roanne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limoges than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Limoges could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chorale Roanne - Limoges Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:81

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roanne won 2.

Roanne is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Limoges is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Roanne will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Roanne won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 845-886.

Including matches at home between the teams Roanne won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 445-498.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorale Roanne Basket
French LNB
04.11.23	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Chorale Roanne	81:84 ✺
28.10.23	Chorale Roanne - Le Mans	70:71 ✺
22.10.23	ASVEL Basket - Chorale Roanne	93:88 ✺
French Cup Basketball
18.10.23	Saint Chamond - Chorale Roanne	91:82 ✺
French LNB
14.10.23	Chorale Roanne - Strasbourg	82:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLL
- Limoges CSP
French LNB
05.11.23	Limoges - ASVEL Basket	79:68 ✺
29.10.23	Saint-Quentin - Limoges	75:83 ✺
21.10.23	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Limoges	77:67 ✺
French Cup Basketball
17.10.23	Tours - Limoges	83:102 ✺
French LNB
14.10.23	Limoges - Cholet Basket	81:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
10.05.23	Limoges - Chorale Roanne	90:104
05.01.23	Chorale Roanne - Limoges	88:87
02.04.22	Limoges - Chorale Roanne	86:61
15.10.21	Chorale Roanne - Limoges	70:93
28.05.21	Chorale Roanne - Limoges	77:83
03.04.21	Limoges - Chorale Roanne	62:86
27.12.19	Chorale Roanne - Limoges	73:89

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