Match Info

Elite 2 - Round 38

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Halle Andre Vacheresse (Roanne)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	LNB


	Chorale Roanne		Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez

	1	2
	1.38	2.68
	1.37	3.07
	1.41	2.62	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.4	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	2.77 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorale Roanne
66.6%

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorale Roanne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorale Roanne than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chorale Roanne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chorale Roanne - Élan Béarnais Pau Orthez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Affo Mama D.	13. Clark M.
8. Diot A. (C)	45. Cornely T.
2. Gauthier H.	12. Mkamba J.
24. Mangas K.	0. Nze B.
18. Moerman A.	9. Pinault B. (C)
Substitutes
42. Bria A.	6. Mballa J.
9. Ekanga-Ehawa J.	4. Milanese F.
23. Ferguson-Masters J.	22. Raharimanantoanina S.
88. Legat M.	3. Thelwell D.
16. Levarity A.	11. Wibaut F.
14. Markusson M.
35. Wojciechowski M.
Coaches
. Andrieux T.	. Hay M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roanne won 2.

Roanne has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Pau-Orthez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Roanne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Roanne is seen as the favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Roanne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1018:1063. (average 78.3:81.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Roanne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 497:562. (average 82.8:93.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorale Roanne Basket
French Elite 2
08.05.26	Saint Chamond - Chorale Roanne	79:93 ✺
01.05.26	Chorale Roanne - Caen	75:71 ✺
25.04.26	Quimper - Chorale Roanne	67:81 ✺
21.04.26	Antibes - Chorale Roanne	68:92 ✺
17.04.26	Chorale Roanne - Alliance Sport Alsace	87:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW
- Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
French Elite 2
10.05.26	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Vichy-Clermont	72:62 ✺
30.04.26	Poitiers Basket 86 - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	90:97 ✺
25.04.26	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Antibes	92:71 ✺
21.04.26	ADA Blois - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	91:74 ✺
17.04.26	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Champagne Chalons-Reims	78:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Elite 2
16.01.26	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Chorale Roanne	88:93
07.03.25	Chorale Roanne - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	97:100 OT
01.11.24	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Chorale Roanne	81:77
French LNB
21.01.23	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Chorale Roanne	77:85
23.12.22	Chorale Roanne - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	75:94
17.05.22	Chorale Roanne - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	87:103
27.12.21	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Chorale Roanne	109:105

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