Match Info

EUROPE: ABA League - Round 14

Date: 27 December 2024, Friday

Location: Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic (Zagreb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Cibona		Borac Čačak

	1	2
	1.7	2
	1.75	1.95
	1.8	2.02
	1.79	1.99	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.7	2.05
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.62)	2 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cibona
53.5%

Borac Čačak
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cibona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Borac Čačak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cibona than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cibona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borac Čačak than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borac Čačak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Cibona - Borac Čačak Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cibona will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Borac Čačak will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Bart V.	3. Baldwin D.
0. Loncar M.	12. Furmanavicius J.
6. Perasovic I.	10. Josilo M.
3. Radovcic K.	5. Pavicevic M.
2. Rocak T.	66. Valinskas P.
Substitutes
8. Bundovic F.	16. Bugarcic D.
24. Katanovic B.	11. Curcic-M D.
13. Majcunic I.	55. Manojlovic N.
7. Skoric L.	9. Nikolic P.
1. Vukovic D.	4. Radovic P.
Coaches
. Thomas C.	. Ocokoljic S.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cibona won 3.

Recent matches Cibona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borac Čačak has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Borac Čačak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cibona won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 649:629 (average 81.1:78.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Cibona won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 342:324 (average 85.5:81).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Cibona
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
22.12.24	Virtus Zagreb - Cibona	85:83 ✺
Adriatic League
20.12.24	Mega Basket - Cibona	88:58 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
16.12.24	Cibona - Dubrovnik	88:68 ✺
Adriatic League
14.12.24	Cibona - Cedevita Olimpija	66:75 ✺
Croatian Cup Basketball
11.12.24	Cibona - Dubrava	81:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLWLW
- KK Borac Čačak
Adriatic League
22.12.24	Borac Čačak - Spartak Subotica	66:73 ✺
12.12.24	KK Zadar - Borac Čačak	89:67 ✺
09.12.24	Mega Basket - Borac Čačak	98:74 ✺
30.11.24	Borac Čačak - Cedevita Olimpija	74:94 ✺
17.11.24	Crvena Zvezda - Borac Čačak	105:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
28.12.23	Cibona - Borac Čačak	97:101 OT
01.10.23	Borac Čačak - Cibona	86:79
07.02.23	Borac Čačak - Cibona	83:84
28.10.22	Cibona - Borac Čačak	87:85
06.03.22	Cibona - Borac Čačak	89:74
13.11.21	Borac Čačak - Cibona	59:62
26.04.21	Borac Čačak - Cibona	77:82

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