Match Info

ABA League - Relegation - Final

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic (Zagreb)


	Cibona		Ilirija

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.75
	1.5	2.46	Watch
	1.47	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)	2.59 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cibona
63.7%

Ilirija
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cibona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Ilirija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cibona than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Cibona - Ilirija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Majcunic I.	0. Golson V.
6. Perasovic I.	15. Jockuch K.
3. Radovcic K.	35. Kures L.
2. Rocak T.	11. Mikus M.
1. Vukovic D.	8. Tomazic T.
Substitutes
5. Aranitovic P.	9. Faganel L.
21. Bart V.	4. Ferme T.
8. Bundovic F.	3. Gabrijel B.
33. Rikic R.	23. Nosakhare B.
7. Skoric L.	6. Skorjanc G.
9. Smajlagic S.	5. Strnad L.
Coaches
. Sesar J.	. Modric S.

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cibona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cibona will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Cibona
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
26.05.25	Cibona - KK Zadar	70:80 ✺
23.05.25	KK Zadar - Cibona	81:76 ✺
20.05.25	Cibona - Kvarner	99:63 ✺
17.05.25	Kvarner - Cibona	88:68 ✺
14.05.25	Cibona - Kvarner	84:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW
- KD Ilirija
Slovenian Liga Basketball
26.05.25	Krka - Ilirija	89:67 ✺
23.05.25	Ilirija - Tajfun Šentjur	94:89 OT ✺
17.05.25	Tajfun Šentjur - Ilirija	61:81 ✺
Adriatic League 2
14.05.25	Bosna - Ilirija	88:74 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
10.05.25	Ilirija - Tajfun Šentjur	70:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL

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