Match Info

NBB

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ginasio Wlamir Marques (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Varella J. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Corinthians Paulista		São José dos Campos

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.3	3.15
	1.29	3.52
	1.76	1.97	Watch
	1.3	3.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.31)	2.97 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians Paulista
67.9%

São José dos Campos
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

São José dos Campos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São José dos Campos than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Corinthians Paulista - São José dos Campos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Clark E.	0. Dos Santos D.
55. Elinho	8. Freitas C.
17. Gabriel Novaes	32. Lessa G.
0. Thomas D.	33. Miller M.
10. Victao	16. Rodrigues A.
Substitutes
3. Cardoso L.	4. Borges A.
23. Caue L.	10. Carvalho P. A. B. P. d.
1. Faria T.	9. Cravero L.
14. Munford R.	1. Nascimento N.
2. Nascimento A.	12. Nickel J.
8. Pereira K.	15. Ribeiro B.
11. Raymundo K.	35. Tavares M.
Coaches
. Leite J.	. Ahmed C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 0.

Corinthians Paulista is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, São José has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Corinthians Paulista may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Corinthians Paulista is considered a favorite.

We predict that Corinthians Paulista will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 794:790. (average 79.4:79).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians Paulista won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 408:417. (average 81.6:83.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians Paulista Basketball
Brazilian NBB
08.11.25	Unifacisa - Corinthians Paulista	75:105 ✺
05.11.25	Basquete Cearense - Corinthians Paulista	82:98 ✺
03.11.25	Corinthians Paulista - Botafogo	90:75 ✺
31.10.25	Corinthians Paulista - Flamengo	77:103 ✺
29.10.25	Corinthians Paulista - Vasco da Gama	81:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLW
- São José dos Campos Basketball
Brazilian NBB
04.11.25	Paulistano - São José dos Campos	80:71 ✺
01.11.25	São José dos Campos - Botafogo	77:64 ✺
29.10.25	São José dos Campos - Flamengo	72:88 ✺
27.10.25	São José dos Campos - Vasco da Gama	61:57 ✺
20.10.25	Minas - São José dos Campos	88:86 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
07.03.25	Corinthians Paulista - São José dos Campos	72:77
02.12.24	São José dos Campos - Corinthians Paulista	83:78
09.01.24	São José dos Campos - Corinthians Paulista	71:70
05.01.24	Corinthians Paulista - São José dos Campos	77:89
12.01.23	São José dos Campos - Corinthians Paulista	88:81
15.10.22	Corinthians Paulista - São José dos Campos	82:77
14.01.20	Corinthians Paulista - São José dos Campos	103:92

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