Match Info

NBB

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: NBB 🌤️ ...

Referee: de Moraes G. (Bra)


	Cruzeiro		Pato

	1	2
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.3	3.05	Watch
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.33	3.2
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)	3.22 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
71.1%

Pato
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruzeiro's performance.

Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cruzeiro - Pato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Abreu L.	24. de Souza M.
22. Ansaloni R.	41. Fidelis J.
7. Clay Y.	10. Mateus
30. Da Silva M.	71. Penteado D.
0. Thornton I.	5. Thompson T.
Substitutes
10. Bueno C.	37. Batista G.
5. Gittens D.	11. Edu Marilia
12. JJ	3. Euler C.
2. Nique	17. Gomes N.
8. Nogueira E.	4. Nakazawa L.
21. Sena W.	79. Ribeiro G.
77. Souza T.	34. Zonzini W.
Coaches
. Perez T.	. Gitiony R.

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cruzeiro has had a series of away games.

Recently, Pato has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cruzeiro is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cruzeiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 71:69.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
13	Cruzeiro	3	1	2	226:233	0.333
14	Pato	3	1	2	228:254	0.333

Outrights of Brazilian NBB for now

Pato: 0.73% Cruzeiro: 0.73%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro Basquete
Brazilian NBB
15.01.26	São José dos Campos - Cruzeiro	98:91 ✺
10.01.26	Corinthians Paulista - Cruzeiro	95:83 ✺
29.12.25	Basquete Cearense - Cruzeiro	78:86 ✺
27.12.25	Unifacisa - Cruzeiro	85:77 ✺
23.12.25	Cruzeiro - Vasco da Gama	79:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLW
- Pato Basquete
Brazilian NBB
12.01.26	Pato - União Corinthians	72:80 ✺
09.01.26	Pato - Caxias do Sul	85:91 OT ✺
29.12.25	Pato - Pinheiros	67:94 ✺
23.12.25	Brasília Basquete - Pato	84:69 ✺
20.12.25	Pato - Osasco	82:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
29.10.25	Pato - Cruzeiro	69:71

Cruzeiro - Pato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide