Match Info

Euroleague - Round 11

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Beogradska arena (Belgrade)

Referee: Konstantinovs K. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Crvena Zvezda		AS Monaco Basket

	1	2
	2.55	1.54	Watch
	2.42	1.58	Watch
	2.46	1.56
	1.80	1.99	Watch
	2.2	1.72	Watch
	1.76	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.8)	1.74 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda
44.2%

AS Monaco Basket
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crvena Zvezda's form might have worsened.

AS Monaco Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AS Monaco Basket's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS Monaco Basket than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Crvena Zvezda - AS Monaco Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 36 - 76.6%). Monaco will win (votes: 11 - 23.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crvena Zvezda: 64.5% – 88.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 173.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +5, OT - Crvena Zvezda (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crvena Zvezda will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 33 - 89.2%). Monaco (votes: 4 - 10.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dobric O.	4. Blossomgame J.
12. Kalinic N.	11. Diallo A.
0. Miller-McIntyre C.	55. James M.
20. Motiejunas D.	32. Strazel M.
37. Ojeleye S.	10. Theis D.
Substitutes
6. Butler J.	23. Begarin J.
7. Davidovac D.	13. Hayes K.
2. Miljenovic S.	5. Makoundou Y.
1. Plavsic U.	33. Mirotic N.
44. Radosic O.	26. Nedovic N.
17. Stojkovic L.	0. Okobo E.
99. Yago	22. Tarpey T.
Coaches
. Obradovic S.	. Spanoulis V.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 3.

Crvena Zvezda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Monaco is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Crvena Zvezda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 968:992. (average 80.7:82.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Crvena Zvezda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 499:507. (average 83.2:84.5).

Last Results with these Odds

AS Monaco Basket - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 47.12%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Crvena Zvezda
Euroleague
11.11.25	Dubai - Crvena Zvezda	102:86 ✺
Adriatic League
08.11.25	Crvena Zvezda - KK Budućnost	95:79 ✺
Euroleague
05.11.25	Crvena Zvezda - Panathinaikos	86:68 ✺
Adriatic League
02.11.25	Spartak Subotica - Crvena Zvezda	85:80 ✺
Euroleague
30.10.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Crvena Zvezda	92:99 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLW
- AS Monaco Basket
Euroleague
11.11.25	Partizan Belgrade - AS Monaco Basket	78:76 ✺
French LNB
09.11.25	AS Monaco Basket - Saint-Quentin	92:84 ✺
Euroleague
06.11.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - AS Monaco Basket	107:112 OT ✺
French LNB
02.11.25	Limoges - AS Monaco Basket	77:94 ✺
Euroleague
31.10.25	AS Monaco Basket - Panathinaikos	92:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
14.09.25	AS Monaco Basket - Crvena Zvezda	79:86
Euroleague
17.01.25	Crvena Zvezda - AS Monaco Basket	88:82 OT
12.11.24	AS Monaco Basket - Crvena Zvezda	90:98
07.03.24	AS Monaco Basket - Crvena Zvezda	98:80
18.10.23	Crvena Zvezda - AS Monaco Basket	76:82
12.01.23	Crvena Zvezda - AS Monaco Basket	92:68
04.11.22	AS Monaco Basket - Crvena Zvezda	85:77

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