Match Info

TBL - Round 20

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Ayhan Şahenk Arena (Istanbul)


	Darüşşafaka		Kipaş İstiklal

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.55
	2.24	1.54
	2.24	1.56
	2.3	1.57
	2.18	1.61
	1.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.78)	1.6 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darüşşafaka
42.2%

Kipaş İstiklal
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darüşşafaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darüşşafaka's form might have worsened.

Kipaş İstiklal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kipaş İstiklal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darüşşafaka than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darüşşafaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kipaş İstiklal than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kipaş İstiklal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Darüşşafaka - Kipaş İstiklal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Akay M.	1. Abu A.
6. Aydogan E.	11. Akkoyun G.
13. Karabilen I.	6. Watkins D.
1. Pelit U.	29. Yasar E.
36. Zecevic A.	16. Yeniay B.
Substitutes
20. Akcay E.	53. Demirli G.
57. Celik B.	4. Gozeneli B.
10. Dora D.	10. Gunes O.
15. Kara M.	25. Isik B.
7. Selisik I.	13. Selen B. (C)
14. Sert M. (C)	44. Tunc B.
8. Songur I.	15. Yilmaz A.
Coaches
. Salman I.	. Erdogan S.

Preview

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Kipaş İstiklal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Kipas Istiklal	5	4	1	410:364	9
10	Darussafaka	5	2	3	375:400	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darüşşafaka SK
Turkish Federation Cup Basketball
13.01.26	Darüşşafaka - Konya BBSK	62:86 ✺
Turkish TBL
10.01.26	İTÜ - Darüşşafaka	85:77 ✺
02.01.26	Darüşşafaka - Cayirova	69:82 ✺
26.12.25	TED Ankara Kolejliler - Darüşşafaka	81:67 ✺
21.12.25	Darüşşafaka - Kocaeli Kağıtspor	67:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLLW
- Kipaş İstiklal
Turkish TBL
09.01.26	Kipaş İstiklal - TED Ankara Kolejliler	89:84 ✺
04.01.26	Kocaeli Kağıtspor - Kipaş İstiklal	80:79 ✺
28.12.25	Gaziantep BB BT - Kipaş İstiklal	84:58 ✺
21.12.25	Kipaş İstiklal - Orman Gençlikspor	65:96 ✺
18.12.25	Fenerbahçe 2 - Kipaş İstiklal	94:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

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