Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NBL1 North

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday


	Darwin Salties		South West Metro Pirates

	1	2
			Watch
	1.26	3.5
	1.25	3.4
	1.17	4.66
	1.27	3.46	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.28	3.44	Watch
	1.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)	3.59 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 194.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darwin Salties
74.1%

South West Metro Pirates
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darwin Salties has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Darwin Salties's performance.

South West Metro Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South West Metro Pirates might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darwin Salties than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Darwin Salties that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South West Metro Pirates than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that South West Metro Pirates could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Darwin Salties - South West Metro Pirates Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 101:93

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Preview

Recent matches Darwin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

South West Metro is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Darwin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently South West Metro have a series of guest games.

In this match Darwin is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Darwin to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Darwin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 195-185.

Including matches at home between the teams Darwin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 99-83.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darwin Salties
Australian NBL1 North
06.07.24	Darwin Salties - Townsville Heat	100:84 ✺
29.06.24	Darwin Salties - Mackay Meteors	101:106 ✺
22.06.24	Darwin Salties - North Gold Coast Seahawks	121:88 ✺
15.06.24	Brisbane Capitals - Darwin Salties	86:81 ✺
15.06.24	Southern Districts Spartans - Darwin Salties	92:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLW
- South West Metro Pirates
Australian NBL1 North
06.07.24	Logan Thunder - South West Metro Pirates	95:93 ✺
05.07.24	South West Metro Pirates - Sunshine Coast Phoenix	100:81 ✺
29.06.24	Northside Wizards - South West Metro Pirates	117:103 ✺
22.06.24	Townsville Heat - South West Metro Pirates	92:91 ✺
21.06.24	Cairns Marlins - South West Metro Pirates	98:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 North
10.06.23	South West Metro Pirates - Darwin Salties	102:96
28.05.22	Darwin Salties - South West Metro Pirates	99:83

Darwin Salties - South West Metro Pirates: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide