Match Info

CHILE: LNB

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Gimnasio Municipal de Castro (Castro)


	Deportes Castro		Universidad Católica

	1	2
	1.3	3.1
	1.29	3.15	Watch
	1.29	3.53
	1.33	3.25
	1.28	3.44
	1.29	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)	3.27 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Castro
71.6%

Universidad Católica
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Castro than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Castro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad Católica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportes Castro - Universidad Católica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:72

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Castro won 4.

The competitors look crappy now.

Deportes Castro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Deportes Castro is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Deportes Castro won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 803-775.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Castro won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 398-350.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Castro
Chilean LNB
03.02.24	Deportes Castro - Leones de Quilpue	54:76 ✺
28.01.24	Puerto Montt - Deportes Castro	77:76 OT ✺
27.01.24	Puerto Varas - Deportes Castro	75:91 ✺
21.01.24	Deportes Castro - Espanol Osorno	66:67 ✺
20.01.24	Deportes Castro - Las Animas	61:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL
- CD Universidad Católica Basketball
Chilean LNB
03.02.24	Ancud - Universidad Católica	86:84 ✺
27.01.24	Universidad Católica - Sportiva Italiana	94:82 ✺
26.01.24	Universidad Católica - Puente Alto	70:75 ✺
20.01.24	Deportivo Valdivia - Universidad Católica	85:71 ✺
19.01.24	Liceo Pablo Neruda - Universidad Católica	86:82 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB
28.04.23	Deportes Castro - Universidad Católica	91:65
18.02.23	Universidad Católica - Deportes Castro	86:79 OT
28.04.22	Universidad Católica - Deportes Castro	75:82
24.04.22	Deportes Castro - Universidad Católica	83:52
09.02.20	Deportes Castro - Universidad Católica	81:71
21.12.19	Universidad Católica - Deportes Castro	61:59
13.01.19	Universidad Católica - Deportes Castro	87:93

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