Match Info

EUROPE: ALPE ADRIA CUP

Date: 4 January 2024, Thursday

Location: Sportska dvorana Dubrava (Zagreb)


	Dubrava		Vienna Basket

	1	2
	2.3	1.55
	2.45	1.55
	2.45	1.56
	2.5	1.5
	2.48	1.5
	2.31	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.8)	1.53 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dubrava
38.8%

Vienna Basket
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dubrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dubrava's performance.

Vienna Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vienna Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dubrava than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dubrava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vienna Basket than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vienna Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Dubrava - Vienna Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dubrava will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Vienna Basket will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:87

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Preview

Dubrava is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vienna Basket is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dubrava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vienna Basket is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Dubrava
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
20.12.23	Zabok - Dubrava	81:96 ✺
16.12.23	Dubrava - Škrljevo	92:82 ✺
Alpe Adria Cup
13.12.23	Kolín - Dubrava	65:81 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
09.12.23	Alkar - Dubrava	74:73 OT ✺
Alpe Adria Cup
05.12.23	Dubrava - Timișoara	78:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WWWLW
- Vienna Basket
Austrian Superliga Basketball
29.12.23	Vienna Basket - UBC Sankt Pölten	80:88 ✺
26.12.23	Traiskirchen Lions - Vienna Basket	84:76 ✺
21.12.23	Vienna Basket - Swans Gmunden	77:80 ✺
17.12.23	Vienna Basket - Kapfenberg Bulls	97:92 ✺
08.12.23	UBSC Graz - Vienna Basket	75:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWW

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