Match Info

Date: 26 January 2021, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Ežerūnas		Perlas Vilnius

	1	2
	1.6	2.2
	1.63	2.14
	1.58	2.28
	1.62	2.2
	1.53	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.06)	2.24 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ežerūnas
58.5%

Perlas Vilnius
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.6%

54.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ežerūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ežerūnas's performance.

Perlas Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Perlas Vilnius might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ežerūnas than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ežerūnas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perlas Vilnius than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Perlas Vilnius could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.7%	0%	7.3%

Ežerūnas - Perlas Vilnius Predictions

Users Predictions: Ežerūnas will win (51 of 55 users predict this - 92.73%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.87% – 99.59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:80

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Preview

No spectators.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Perlas Vilnius could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Perlas Vilnius have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ežerūnas won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 973-1044.

Including matches at home between the teams Ežerūnas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 288-336.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Ežerūnas
Lietuvos NKL
23.01.21	Ežerūnas - Perlas Vilkaviškis	88:95 OT (82:82) ✺
21.01.21	Šilalės Lūšis - Ežerūnas	71:76 ✺
16.01.21	Palanga - Ežerūnas	92:69 ✺
14.01.21	Perlas Vilnius - Ežerūnas	89:102 ✺
09.01.21	Ežerūnas - Mažeikiai	87:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW
- BC Perlas Vilnius
Lietuvos NKL
23.01.21	Gargždų - Perlas Vilnius	73:80 ✺
21.01.21	Perlas Vilnius - Delikatesas Joniškis	104:79 ✺
19.01.21	Perlas Vilnius - Telšiai	70:94 ✺
17.01.21	Perlas Vilnius - Šilutė	82:78 ✺
14.01.21	Perlas Vilnius - Ežerūnas	89:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
14.01.21	Perlas Vilnius - Ežerūnas	89:102
07.12.19	Perlas Vilnius - Ežerūnas	88:86
24.10.19	Ežerūnas - Perlas Vilnius	68:78
17.03.19	Perlas Vilnius - Ežerūnas	86:87
15.03.19	Ežerūnas - Perlas Vilnius	92:76
13.03.19	Perlas Vilnius - Ežerūnas	88:97
12.01.19	Ežerūnas - Perlas Vilnius	64:97

Ežerūnas - Perlas Vilnius