Match Info

LFB Women - Round 5

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Le Palacium (Villeneuve d'Ascq)


	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq		Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud

	1	2
	1.34	2.85
	1.40	2.56	Watch
	1.33	3.1
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	2.82 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 140.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ESB Villeneuve-dAscq
67.3%

Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ESB Villeneuve-dAscq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ESB Villeneuve-dAscq than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ESB Villeneuve dAscq - Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:67

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Alston A.	25. Chabrier C. (C)
69. Fall S.	10. Chevaugeon S.
13. Milapie M.	9. Daramy M.
1. Peterson A.	1. Mayo N.
31. Tahane E.	20. Thomas S.
Substitutes
7. Bobozo J.	2. Colas S.
12. Chery A.	15. Dalstra C.
27. Fangnigbe L.	32. Drame B.
5. Kouadio N. A.	21. Toure M.
74. Paget M. (C)
33. Palenikova T.
30. Yale O.
Coaches
. Bezin M.	. Leite S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villeneuve-dAscq won 3.

Villeneuve-dAscq is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Charnay's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Villeneuve-dAscq may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villeneuve-dAscq could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Villeneuve-dAscq won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 627:576. (average 69.7:64).

Including home matches between the teams, Villeneuve-dAscq won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 269:250. (average 67.3:62.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ESB Villeneuve-dAscq
Eurocup Women
23.10.25	Beroe - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	61:93 ✺
French LFB
19.10.25	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq - Bourges Basket	69:50 ✺
Eurocup Women
15.10.25	Ślęza Wrocław - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	70:78 ✺
French LFB
12.10.25	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq - Landerneau Bretagne	75:67 ✺
Eurocup Women
08.10.25	Fribourg Basket - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	75:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud
Eurocup Women
23.10.25	Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud - Beşiktaş	67:59 ✺
French LFB
18.10.25	Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud - Flammes Carolo	78:77 ✺
Eurocup Women
15.10.25	Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud - Gorzów Wielkopolski	84:70 ✺
French LFB
12.10.25	Basket Landes - Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud	68:46 ✺
Eurocup Women
10.10.25	Athinaikos - Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud	75:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French LFB
23.02.25	Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	66:59
17.11.24	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq - Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud	64:67
02.03.24	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq - Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud	69:64
19.11.23	Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	78:87 OT
16.01.22	ESB Villeneuve-dAscq - Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud	72:62
02.10.21	Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	48:90
24.02.21	Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	76:55

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