Match Info

GREECE: Elite League - Round 9

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Eleftheroupoli Kavalas		Papagou

	1	2
	1.45	2.5
	1.41	2.6
	1.39	2.77
	1.46	2.51	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.44	2.65
	1.41	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)	2.63 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eleftheroupoli Kavalas
64.9%

Papagou
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eleftheroupoli Kavalas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eleftheroupoli Kavalas's performance.

Papagou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Papagou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eleftheroupoli Kavalas than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eleftheroupoli Kavalas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Papagou than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Papagou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eleftheroupoli Kavalas - Papagou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:77

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Preview

Recent matches Eleftheroupoli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Papagou is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eleftheroupoli will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Eleftheroupoli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 327:336 (average 81.8:84).

Including matches at home between the teams Eleftheroupoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 162:168 (average 81:84).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Eleftheroupoli Kavalas
Greek Elite League Basketball
13.11.24	Megaridas - Eleftheroupoli Kavalas	85:70 ✺
09.11.24	Vikos - Eleftheroupoli Kavalas	73:82 ✺
02.11.24	Eleftheroupoli Kavalas - Mykonos	72:85 ✺
26.10.24	Doxa Lefkadas - Eleftheroupoli Kavalas	87:86 OT ✺
19.10.24	Eleftheroupoli Kavalas - Proteas Voulas	74:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW
- Papagou BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
13.11.24	Papagou - Mykonos	75:83 ✺
09.11.24	Doxa Lefkadas - Papagou	69:84 ✺
02.11.24	Papagou - Proteas Voulas	74:86 ✺
26.10.24	Iraklis - Papagou	87:81 ✺
19.10.24	Papagou - Near East	67:67 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
03.02.24	Papagou - Eleftheroupoli Kavalas	71:76
21.10.23	Eleftheroupoli Kavalas - Papagou	71:81
15.02.23	Papagou - Eleftheroupoli Kavalas	97:89
22.10.22	Eleftheroupoli Kavalas - Papagou	91:87

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