Match Info

LFB Women - Round 9

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Clube do Pova de Esgueira (Aveiro)


	Esgueira		Galitos

	1	2
	1.34	2.85	Watch
	1.34	2.75
	1.34	2.9	Watch
	1.36	2.72
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.66)	2.79 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 137.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esgueira
67.3%

Galitos
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esgueira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esgueira's performance.

Galitos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galitos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esgueira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galitos than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galitos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Esgueira - Galitos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:66

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Andorinho M.	5. Canastra J.
7. Barbara	4. Domingues D. (C)
4. Kosareva S.	3. Innemee K.
9. Raimundo G.	7. Neto M.
98. Thornton T.	8. Nufer L.
Substitutes
15. Espindola R.	12. Andrade L.
1. Ferreira D. (C)	9. Guerreiro I.
24. Hadiatu D.	13. Hudson T.
99. Magalhaes L.	11. Marques A.
19. Marques S.	32. Muge M.
30. Reynolds V.	23. Okhremenko A.
12. Silva J.	10. Picado M.
Coaches
. Janicas A.	. Araujo L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esgueira won 4.

Esgueira is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Galitos has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Esgueira is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Esgueira won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 593:477. (average 65.9:53).

Including home matches between the teams, Esgueira won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 322:263. (average 64.4:52.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esgueira Basket Women
Portuguese LFB
30.11.25	União Sportiva - Esgueira	81:62 ✺
22.11.25	Esgueira - Benfica	63:73 ✺
08.11.25	Esgueira - GDESSA Barreiro	95:70 ✺
02.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Esgueira	70:59 ✺
26.10.25	Esgueira - Imortal	57:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Galitos Women
Portuguese LFB
29.11.25	Galitos - Sporting Lisbon	51:67 ✺
23.11.25	Imortal - Galitos	70:61 ✺
08.11.25	Galitos - Madeira	83:63 ✺
02.11.25	Quinta Dos Lombos - Galitos	70:55 ✺
25.10.25	Galitos - Sanjoanense	82:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball Women
27.09.25	Esgueira - Galitos	64:71
Portuguese LFB
11.01.25	Galitos - Esgueira	54:67
19.10.24	Esgueira - Galitos	61:57
07.01.24	Galitos - Esgueira	56:77
15.10.23	Esgueira - Galitos	53:32
22.02.23	Esgueira - Galitos	74:57
01.11.22	Galitos - Esgueira	62:70

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