Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 6

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Estela		Melilla

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.45	2.45
	1.48	2.37	Watch
	1.48	2.47
	1.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 (1.48)	2.45 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estela
62.4%

Melilla
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estela than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Estela - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Hernandez P.	7. Cordoba P.
32. Johnson R.	22. Diaz C.
34. Kande G.	5. Heron M.
24. Perez J.	1. Poirier D.
8. Rodriguez S.	23. Stumbris R.
Substitutes
21. de la Llama B.	21. Debaut L.
10. Martinez G.	44. Garcia Sanchez J.
2. Powell J.	0. Johnson J.
6. Taboada C.	12. Krutous P.
11. Yu Jiahao	4. Peno S.
	33. Stilma M.

Preview

In recent matches, Estela has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Melilla's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Estela will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Estela won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 337:309. (average 84.3:77.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Estela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 158:149. (average 79:74.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Estela
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
25.10.25	Estela - Ourense	87:65 ✺
18.10.25	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Estela	90:75 ✺
11.10.25	Estela - Palencia	58:107 ✺
04.10.25	Obradoiro CAB - Estela	82:87 ✺
27.09.25	Estela - Zamora	72:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLLWL
- Club Melilla Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
26.10.25	Melilla - Palencia	80:75 ✺
18.10.25	Obradoiro CAB - Melilla	79:59 ✺
12.10.25	Melilla - Estudiantes	70:82 ✺
04.10.25	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Melilla	82:73 ✺
26.09.25	Burgos - Melilla	106:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
13.03.24	Melilla - Estela	71:84
29.11.23	Estela - Melilla	75:69
30.04.23	Melilla - Estela	89:95
28.12.22	Estela - Melilla	83:80 OT (70:70)

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