Match Info

Liga Femenina Women - Round 9

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday


	Estepona		Gernika Bizkaia

	1	2
	1.53	2.25	Watch
	1.52	2.4
	1.56	2.24	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.63	2.15
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.78)	2.3 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 142.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estepona
59.7%

Gernika Bizkaia
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Estepona's performance.

Gernika Bizkaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gernika Bizkaia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estepona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika Bizkaia than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gernika Bizkaia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estepona - Gernika Bizkaia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:70

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Aijanen M.	22. Bessoir E.
2. Conner M.	24. Brown J.
23. Garrick M.	16. Castedo E.
20. Gretter M.	4. Matarranz E.
3. Kone S.	7. Olaeta A.
Substitutes
10. Aparicio B.	12. Jankovic M.
33. Arribas L.	13. Krnjic S.
6. Dongue L.	21. Polleros S.
12. Gea Becerra M.	11. Westerik L.
11. Masia Llanes N.	5. Zubiaga N.
9. Muhate C.
15. Ortega Campos M.

Preview

In recent matches, Estepona has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gernika Bizkaia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gernika Bizkaia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAB Estepona
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
30.11.25	Valencia - Estepona	82:74 ✺
23.11.25	Estepona - Zaragoza	70:75 ✺
07.11.25	CB Avenida - Estepona	63:49 ✺
01.11.25	Universitario Ferrol - Estepona	75:95 ✺
26.10.25	Estepona - Leganés	65:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLWW
- Gernika Bizkaia Basketball
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
30.11.25	Gernika Bizkaia - Cadí La Seu	63:75 ✺
Eurocup Women
27.11.25	Gernika Bizkaia - Elitzur Ramla	62:64 ✺
25.11.25	Elitzur Ramla - Gernika Bizkaia	65:81 ✺
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
23.11.25	CB Avenida - Gernika Bizkaia	85:60 ✺
07.11.25	Gernika Bizkaia - Jairis	74:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

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