Match Info

Date: 3 February 2021, Wednesday


	Estudiantes		Basket Zaragoza

	1	2
	2.6	1.55	Watch
	2.35	1.6
	2.48	1.54	Watch
	2.42	1.52
	2.47	1.59
	2.6	1.52	Watch
	2.54	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (1.98)	1.56 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes
38.4%

Basket Zaragoza
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes's form might have worsened.

Basket Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basket Zaragoza's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basket Zaragoza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86%	0%	14%

Estudiantes - Basket Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: Estudiantes will win (43 of 50 users predict this - 86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.38% – 95.62%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:89

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 15).

Estudiantes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zaragoza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estudiantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Estudiantes won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1420-1488.

Including matches at home between the teams Estudiantes won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 638-658.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Estudiantes
Spanish ACB League
29.12.20	Estudiantes - Canarias	64:90 ✺
20.12.20	BC Andorra - Estudiantes	81:73 ✺
13.12.20	Estudiantes - Valencia	81:86 ✺
06.12.20	Bilbao Basket - Estudiantes	77:78 ✺
22.11.20	Estudiantes - Unicaja Malaga	90:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Basket Zaragoza
Spanish ACB League
31.01.21	Baskonia - Basket Zaragoza	89:61 ✺
23.01.21	Bilbao Basket - Basket Zaragoza	73:96 ✺
Champions League Basketball
19.01.21	Basket Zaragoza - Start Lublin	94:82 ✺
Spanish ACB League
16.01.21	Basket Zaragoza - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	105:85 ✺
Champions League Basketball
05.01.21	Nizhny Novgorod - Basket Zaragoza	92:98 OT (86:86) ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
29.02.20	Basket Zaragoza - Estudiantes	97:87
08.12.19	Estudiantes - Basket Zaragoza	67:85
10.03.19	Estudiantes - Basket Zaragoza	87:72
11.11.18	Basket Zaragoza - Estudiantes	91:85
11.04.18	Estudiantes - Basket Zaragoza	84:74
07.01.18	Basket Zaragoza - Estudiantes	102:97 OT (79:79)
14.05.17	Basket Zaragoza - Estudiantes	85:90

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