Match Info

Superliga

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Pallati Sportit Flamurtari (Vlorë)


	Flamurtari Vlorë		Pogradeci

	1	2
	2.62	1.41	Watch
	2.42	1.5
	2.65	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (1.61)	1.44 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamurtari Vlorë
35.9%

Pogradeci
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamurtari Vlorë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flamurtari Vlorë's form might have worsened.

Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogradeci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamurtari Vlorë than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flamurtari Vlorë, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogradeci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Flamurtari Vlorë - Pogradeci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:84

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Lineups


10. Berdo I.	9. Granzan K.
12. Como K.	27. Kreste S.
11. Haruni O.	3. Leithart P.
23. Hasani I.	12. Ndini K.
6. Lilaj E.	4. Ruvina A.
4. Lilaj R.	0. Scott J.
5. Merkaj A. (C)	13. Serdari U.
17. Sako A.	5. Taylor C. (C)
8. Sotiri A.	22. Thana J.
9. Sotiri M.	7. Wright N.
43. Williams J.	1. Xhafa O.
	2. Zeqo R.
Coaches
. Meli I.	. Serdari G.

Preview

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

Recently, Flamurtari has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PBC Flamurtari Vlorë
Albanian Superliga Basketball
15.11.25	Flamurtari Vlorë - Elbasani	78:107 ✺
08.11.25	Tirana - Flamurtari Vlorë	110:66
01.11.25	Partizani Tirana - Flamurtari Vlorë	101:62
25.10.25	Apolonia Fier - Flamurtari Vlorë	98:57
19.10.25	Kamza Basket - Flamurtari Vlorë	110:57
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pogradeci Basket
Albanian Superliga Basketball
15.11.25	Pogradeci - Teuta Durrës	84:90
08.11.25	Vllaznia Shkodër - Pogradeci	80:60
01.11.25	Pogradeci - Skënderbeu	66:111 ✺
26.10.25	Besëlidhja Lezhë - Pogradeci	124:76
19.10.25	Pogradeci - Fieri	72:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Flamurtari Vlorë - Pogradeci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide