Match Info

HONG KONG: A1 - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Fukien		Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions

	1	2
	1.63	2.2
	1.67	2.11
	1.67	2.06
	1.7	2.05
	1.64	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (2.53)	2.08 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fukien
55.6%

Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions
44.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fukien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fukien's performance.

Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fukien than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fukien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Fukien - Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Fukien will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fukien: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:75

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Preview

2nd leg. Fukien leads series 1-0.

Recent matches Fukien is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eastern Long Lions is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eastern Long Lions could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Eastern Long Lions will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fukien won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 79:71

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fukien Basketball
Hong Kong A1 Basketball
26.01.25	Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions - Fukien	71:79 ✺
21.01.25	Fukien - South China AA	79:84 ✺
16.01.25	South China AA - Fukien	88:65 ✺
14.01.25	Tycoon - Fukien	74:85 ✺
12.01.25	Fukien - Chun Lung	101:107 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WLLWL
- Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
29.01.25	Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions - NLEX Road Warriors	76:94 ✺
Hong Kong A1 Basketball
26.01.25	Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions - Fukien	71:79 ✺
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
26.01.25	Magnolia Hotshots - Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions	107:78 ✺
Hong Kong A1 Basketball
21.01.25	Winling - Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions	82:74 ✺
Philippines - Commissioners Cup
17.01.25	Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions - Terrafirma Dyip	134:110 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Hong Kong A1 Basketball
26.01.25	Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions - Fukien	71:79

Fukien - Hong Kong Eastern Long Lions