Match Info

LPB - Round 7

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Municipal Luis de Carvalho (Barreiro)


	Galitos Barreiro		Vitória de Guimarães

	1	2
	2.05	1.63	Watch
	2.29	1.51
	1.93	1.76
	2.15	1.62
	2.18	1.61
	2.25	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.93)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Galitos Barreiro
43%

Vitória de Guimarães
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Galitos Barreiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Vitória de Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galitos Barreiro than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galitos Barreiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória de Guimarães than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória de Guimarães, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Galitos Barreiro - Vitória de Guimarães Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Carter B.	46. Gewert F.
13. Courseault K.	2. Jacobs M.
7. Eyobo Q.	5. Peek S.
4. Lefebvre G.	24. Sangha J.
86. Machado D. (C)	6. Verde S.
Substitutes
14. Carvalho G.	3. Araujo B.
44. Cristo P.	11. Baker J.
11. Leslie K.	15. Bastos P. (C)
32. Lisboa B.	8. Costa R.
3. Mestre	77. Freitas D.
20. Runge D.	7. Mendes A.
26. Silva J.	14. Pinto P.
Coaches
. Henrique P.	. Miranda M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Galitos won 1.

Recent performances by Galitos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guimarães is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Galitos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Galitos won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1595:1704. (average 79.8:85.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Galitos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 711:733. (average 79:81.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Galitos Barreiro
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
01.12.25	Imortal - Galitos Barreiro	88:69 ✺
22.11.25	Galitos Barreiro - Porto	90:89 ✺
Portuguese LPB
15.11.25	Imortal - Galitos Barreiro	95:96 OT ✺
09.11.25	Galitos Barreiro - Sporting Lisbon	86:127 ✺
01.11.25	Oliveirense - Galitos Barreiro	93:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LWWLL
- Vitória de Guimarães Basketball
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
22.11.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Esgueira	83:76 ✺
Portuguese LPB
15.11.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Ovarense	77:94 ✺
08.11.25	Porto - Vitória de Guimarães	105:85 ✺
01.11.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Benfica	76:87 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
26.10.25	Benfica - Vitória de Guimarães	105:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
08.04.25	Galitos Barreiro - Vitória de Guimarães	102:84
Portuguese LPB
29.03.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Galitos Barreiro	103:93
07.12.24	Galitos Barreiro - Vitória de Guimarães	70:71
07.03.21	Vitória de Guimarães - Galitos Barreiro	100:67
05.12.20	Galitos Barreiro - Vitória de Guimarães	66:82
08.12.19	Vitória de Guimarães - Galitos Barreiro	93:81
03.05.19	Galitos Barreiro - Vitória de Guimarães	85:80

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