Match Info

LKL

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Gargzdu arena (Gargzdai)


	Gargždai		Jonava

	1	2
	1.5	2.45	Watch
	1.45	2.57
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.44	2.5
	1.47	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.52)	2.49 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gargždai
62.8%

Jonava
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gargždai than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Gargždai - Jonava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gailius D. (C)	2. Ashton-Langford M.
14. Petrilevicius P.	33. Carter O.
5. Pipkins J.	8. Kreismontas L. (C)
11. Turner J.	23. Krikke B.
22. Vaistaras L.	42. Rutherford T.
Substitutes
0. Chargois E.	3. Babraitis M.
2. Gervinas M.	11. Repsys M.
8. Gervinas U.	13. Sidarevicius A.
4. Giedraitis K.	6. Sliogeris S.
33. Meiers M.	0. Varner L.
7. Mineikis N.
1. Pulliam T.
Coaches
. Rinkevicius T.	. Babrauskas S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gargždai won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Jonava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gargždai is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gargždai won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 816:841. (average 81.6:84.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gargždai won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 339:310. (average 84.8:77.5).

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Gargzdai: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
2	Gargzdai	4	3	1	359:357	0.750
8	Jonava	3	1	2	238:239	0.333

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Gargždai-SC
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
26.04.26	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Gargždai	85:90 ✺
22.04.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Gargždai	85:77 ✺
18.04.26	Juventus Utena - Gargždai	98:103 OT ✺
15.04.26	Gargždai - Šiauliai	78:81 ✺
12.04.26	Gargždai - Lietkabelis	64:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLL
- Jonava BC
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
29.04.26	Jonava - Lietkabelis	69:67 ✺
22.04.26	Rytas - Jonava	98:81 ✺
18.04.26	Jonava - Nevėžis Kedainiai	90:89 ✺
14.04.26	Jonava - Žalgiris Kaunas	84:101 ✺
11.04.26	Juventus Utena - Jonava	85:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
17.02.26	Jonava - Gargždai	95:90
03.01.26	Jonava - Gargždai	75:82
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
04.12.25	Jonava - Gargždai	97:82
30.10.25	Gargždai - Jonava	82:88
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
04.10.25	Gargždai - Jonava	103:73
28.12.23	Jonava - Gargždai	105:73
12.11.23	Gargždai - Jonava	86:80

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