Match Info

LKL

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale (Gargzdai)


	Gargždai		Nevėžis Kedainiai

	1	2
			Watch
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.34	2.97
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.54	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	2.46 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gargždai
62.1%

Nevėžis Kedainiai
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gargždai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Nevėžis Kedainiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gargždai than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gargždai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevėžis Kedainiai than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nevėžis Kedainiai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gargždai - Nevėžis Kedainiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gailius D. (C)	4. Jefferson J.
14. Petrilevicius P.	17. Marcinkevicius J.
5. Pipkins J.	24. McLaughlin T.
11. Turner J.	21. Muila J.
22. Vaistaras L.	11. Pohto K.
Substitutes
3. Doualla D.	1. Chargois E.
2. Gervinas M.	12. Montvila N.
8. Gervinas U.	3. Ramanauskas J.
4. Giedraitis K.	7. Valantinas L.
33. Meiers M.	9. Zakas J. (C)
7. Mineikis N.
1. Pulliam T.
Coaches
. Rinkevicius T.	. Eglinskas L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gargždai won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gargždai might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gargždai won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 770:754. (average 85.6:83.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gargždai won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 417:397. (average 83.4:79.4).

Outrights of Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga for now

Gargzdai: 0.82% Nevezis: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
2	Gargzdai	4	3	1	359:357	0.750
10	Nevezis	3	0	3	204:268	0.000

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Gargždai-SC
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
17.02.26	Jonava - Gargždai	95:90 ✺
15.02.26	Gargždai - Žalgiris Kaunas	63:69 ✺
08.02.26	Šiauliai - Gargždai	83:73 ✺
01.02.26	Lietkabelis - Gargždai	70:79 ✺
10.01.26	Gargždai - Rytas	82:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 LLLWW
- BC Nevėžis Kedainiai
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
18.02.26	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Žalgiris Kaunas	67:91 ✺
14.02.26	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Jonava	88:85 OT ✺
07.02.26	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Lietkabelis	81:80 ✺
25.01.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Nevėžis Kedainiai	88:73 ✺
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
17.01.26	Neptūnas - Nevėžis Kedainiai	87:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
10.12.25	Gargždai - Nevėžis Kedainiai	90:74
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
16.11.25	Gargždai - Nevėžis Kedainiai	86:79
03.11.25	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Gargždai	94:87
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
08.10.25	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Gargždai	72:94
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
04.12.23	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Gargždai	92:80
16.10.23	Gargždai - Nevėžis Kedainiai	97:84
02.04.23	Gargždai - Nevėžis Kedainiai	73:87

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