Match Info
NBL1 SouthDate: 18 July 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Nbl+ |
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Geelong United |
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Hobart Chargers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.00 |
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1.72 |
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 |
1.84 |
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1.76 |
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1.74 |
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2.01 |
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1.99 |
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1.71 |
Watch |
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1.72 |
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1.99 |
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1.71 |
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1.99 |
Watch |
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1.76 |
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1.88 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(1.97) |
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1.87 ↑
(1.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Geelong United
50.6% | Hobart Chargers
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Geelong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Hobart Chargers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Geelong United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobart Chargers than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hobart Chargers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Geelong United - Hobart Chargers Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:93 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 3.Geelong is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Hobart is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Geelong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Hobart has had a series of home games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 832:873. (average 83.2:87.3).Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 257:266. (average 85.7:88.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL1 South | | | 26.04.25 | Hobart Chargers - Geelong United | 73:76 | | 22.06.24 | Geelong United - Hobart Chargers | 87:85 | | 12.05.23 | Hobart Chargers - Geelong United | 64:79 | | 23.07.22 | Geelong United - Hobart Chargers | 73:94 | | 02.07.21 | Hobart Chargers - Geelong United | 109:96 | | Australian SEABL | | | 10.08.18 | Hobart Chargers - Geelong United | 86:71 | | 06.05.18 | Hobart Chargers - Geelong United | 92:86 |
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