Match Info

NBL1 South

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	19:00	Nbl+


	Geelong United		Northern Tasmania

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Geelong United
57.4%

Northern Tasmania
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geelong United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Northern Tasmania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geelong United than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Tasmania than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:90

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Geelong has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Northern Tasmania's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Northern Tasmania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geelong United
Australian NBL1 South
16.05.26	Geelong United - Knox Raiders	75:103 ✺
10.05.26	Ringwood Hawks - Geelong United	105:95 ✺
09.05.26	Geelong United - Melbourne Tigers	90:97 ✺
03.05.26	Keilor Thunder - Geelong United	91:75 ✺
02.05.26	Geelong United - Sandringham Sabres	70:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Northern Tasmania Basketball
Australian NBL1 South
16.05.26	Northern Tasmania - Dandenong Rangers	93:116 ✺
15.05.26	Northern Tasmania - Diamond Valley Eagles	82:112 ✺
10.05.26	Kilsyth Cobras - Northern Tasmania	97:87 ✺
09.05.26	Knox Raiders - Northern Tasmania	94:101 ✺
01.05.26	Northern Tasmania - Bendigo Braves	84:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LLLWL

Geelong United - Northern Tasmania