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Current Win Probability
Genève 29.6%
Fribourg Basket 70.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.9%
64.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
57.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genève has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Genève's form might have worsened.
Fribourg Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fribourg Basket's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genève than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genève, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fribourg Basket than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fribourg Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Genève - Fribourg Basket Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:82
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
4. Burdin E.
24. Heard L. (C)
12. Davenport N.
11. Holmberg A.
1. Defosset W. (C)
4. Martinez S.
11. Dutruel M.
5. Popovic L.
0. Vincenzi M.
0. Riddick H.
Substitutes
2. Agune S.
2. Balunga M.
10. Balde S.
14. Benjak M.
7. Burdin K.
8. Martinez C.
23. Gonin S.
10. Moix E.
27. Mougnutou M.
3. van der Kaaij S.
9. Nyambwa S.
5. Villiot E.
Coaches
. Petit R.
. Gaspoz R.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genève won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Genève could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Genève has faced a series of away games on the road.
Fribourg Basket carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Genève has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 872:1254 (averaging 62.3:89.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Genève against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 410:501 goals (averaging 68.3:83.5 per game).