The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gernika Bizkaia 44.5%
Leganés 55.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.1%
52.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
49.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gernika Bizkaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika Bizkaia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gernika Bizkaia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leganés, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gernika Bizkaia - Leganés Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:73
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
5. Bosgana E.
7. Espin M.
7. Olaeta A.
33. Igbowke R.
44. Ridard S.
22. Joiner M.
8. Salvadores A.
8. Lahuerta I.
21. Vonleh A.
10. Sahie A.
Substitutes
24. Brown J.
13. Aguilar R.
12. Galanopoulos S.
4. Driessen N.
4. Matarranz E.
20. Rodriguez Dominguez E.
14. McSpadden L.
32. Rosic N.
11. Puiggros Rovira E.
2. Sangare A.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gernika Bizkaia won 3.
Gernika Bizkaia is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Leganés has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Gernika Bizkaia has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 436:378 (averaging 72.7:63 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gernika Bizkaia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 229:192 goals (averaging 76.3:64 per game).
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Bosgana E. 
Espin M. 
Igbowke R. 
Ridard S. 
Joiner M. 
Vonleh A. 
Sahie A. 
Driessen N. 
McSpadden L. 
Rosic N. 
Sangare A. 
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