Match Info

Liga Femenina Women - Round 11

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Polideportivo Maloste (Gernika-Lumo)


	Gernika Bizkaia		Leganés

	1	2
	1.5	2.3	Watch
	1.43	2.63
	1.56	2.24	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.55	2.3
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)	2.35 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 136.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika Bizkaia
60.7%

Leganés
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika Bizkaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika Bizkaia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Gernika Bizkaia - Leganés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:66

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Bessoir E.	0. Dodson M.
24. Brown J.	6. Driessen N.
12. Jankovic M.	77. Dudasova N.
7. Olaeta A.	8. Lahuerta I.
11. Westerik L.	2. Sangare A.
Substitutes
16. Castedo E.	44. Andelova G.
13. Krnjic S.	1. Bermejo C.
4. Matarranz E.	7. Espin M.
21. Polleros S.	14. Herlihy B. C.
8. Salvadores A.	12. Soriano Cuesta C.
5. Zubiaga N.	11. Togores Carpenter L.

Preview

Gernika Bizkaia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leganés's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leganés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gernika Bizkaia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gernika Bizkaia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 308:228. (average 77:57).

Including home matches between the teams, Gernika Bizkaia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 167:116. (average 83.5:58).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Bizkaia Basketball
Eurocup Women
11.12.25	Gernika Bizkaia - NKA Pécs	62:43 ✺
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
07.12.25	Universitario Ferrol - Gernika Bizkaia	71:57 ✺
03.12.25	Estepona - Gernika Bizkaia	70:86 ✺
30.11.25	Gernika Bizkaia - Cadí La Seu	63:75 ✺
Eurocup Women
27.11.25	Gernika Bizkaia - Elitzur Ramla	62:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLL
- CB Leganés Women
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
06.12.25	Leganés - Estudiantes	68:61 ✺
03.12.25	Joventut Badalona - Leganés	71:65 OT ✺
29.11.25	Leganés - Araski AES	64:70 ✺
23.11.25	Valencia - Leganés	89:59 ✺
07.11.25	Uni Girona - Leganés	85:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
25.02.23	Leganés - Gernika Bizkaia	53:76
10.10.22	Gernika Bizkaia - Leganés	82:55
13.04.22	Leganés - Gernika Bizkaia	59:65
02.02.22	Gernika Bizkaia - Leganés	85:61

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