Match Info

Liga Femenina Women - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Polideportivo Maloste (Gernika-Lumo)


	Gernika Bizkaia		Porta XI Ensino

	1	2
	1.36	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.4	2.73
	1.47	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.54)	2.67 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika Bizkaia
65.5%

Porta XI Ensino
34.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika Bizkaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gernika Bizkaia's performance.

Porta XI Ensino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Porta XI Ensino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika Bizkaia than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gernika Bizkaia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porta XI Ensino than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porta XI Ensino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gernika Bizkaia - Porta XI Ensino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gernika Bizkaia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:72

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Adams J.	15. Fequiere J.
12. Jankovic M.	18. Florez A.
7. Olaeta A.	14. Garfella E.
8. Salvadores A.	41. Giomi L.
23. Vonleh A.	31. Orsili A.
Substitutes
22. Bessoir E.	10. Haidara M.
16. Castedo E.	17. Hernandez Z.
4. Matarranz E.	8. Nhug Bosch D.
21. Polleros S.	2. Tate I.
11. Westerik L.	3. van Schaik H.
5. Zubiaga N.
Coaches
. Fernandez L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gernika Bizkaia won 2.

Recent performances by Gernika Bizkaia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ensino's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ensino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gernika Bizkaia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gernika Bizkaia won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1094:983. (average 72.9:65.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gernika Bizkaia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 523:463. (average 74.7:66.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Gernika Bizkaia W	4	2	2	297:353	6
14	Ensino W	4	1	3	248:312	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Bizkaia Basketball
Eurocup Women
14.01.26	Gernika Bizkaia - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	62:85 ✺
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
11.01.26	Jairis - Gernika Bizkaia	91:73 ✺
07.01.26	Gernika Bizkaia - Uni Girona	72:62 ✺
04.01.26	Valencia - Gernika Bizkaia	87:53 ✺
28.12.25	Gernika Bizkaia - Gipuzkoa Universidad del Pais Vasco	80:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LLWLW
- Porta XI Ensino
Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
10.01.26	Gipuzkoa Universidad del Pais Vasco - Porta XI Ensino	79:74 ✺
07.01.26	Porta XI Ensino - Valencia	75:78 ✺
04.01.26	Estudiantes - Porta XI Ensino	88:78 ✺
28.12.25	Universitario Ferrol - Porta XI Ensino	71:67 ✺
20.12.25	Porta XI Ensino - Cadí La Seu	84:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga Femenina Basketball
25.10.25	Porta XI Ensino - Gernika Bizkaia	85:83
05.03.25	Porta XI Ensino - Gernika Bizkaia	69:72
05.10.24	Gernika Bizkaia - Porta XI Ensino	66:74
02.03.24	Porta XI Ensino - Gernika Bizkaia	78:60
23.09.23	Gernika Bizkaia - Porta XI Ensino	71:57
15.04.23	Gernika Bizkaia - Porta XI Ensino	71:73
28.12.22	Porta XI Ensino - Gernika Bizkaia	58:65

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