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Current Win Probability
Universitario Ferrol 70%
Gernika Bizkaia 30%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
61.2%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.4%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universitario Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universitario Ferrol's performance.
Gernika Bizkaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gernika Bizkaia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario Ferrol than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universitario Ferrol that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika Bizkaia than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gernika Bizkaia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Universitario Ferrol - Gernika Bizkaia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:73
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Belosevic I.
5. Bosgana E.
44. Doogan M.
7. Olaeta A.
13. Melia C.
44. Ridard S.
5. Shaw S.
8. Salvadores A.
9. Sotolova K.
21. Vonleh A.
Substitutes
6. Castedo E.
24. Brown J.
32. Eke Benitez T.
12. Galanopoulos S.
18. Galickova K.
4. Matarranz E.
3. Martinez S.
14. McSpadden L.
7. Mestres G.
11. Puiggros Rovira E.
25. Priede N.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 4.
Recent results have been tough for Ferrol (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Gernika Bizkaia has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Gernika Bizkaia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ferrol holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ferrol has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1427:1404 (averaging 71.4:70.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ferrol against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 712:652 goals (averaging 71.2:65.2 per game).
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Belosevic I. 
Bosgana E. 
Doogan M. 
Olaeta A. 
Melia C. 
Ridard S. 
Sotolova K. 
McSpadden L. 
Priede N. 
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