The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia y Esgrima 58.7%
Ferro Carril Oeste 41.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
69.6%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.4%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia y Esgrima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia y Esgrima's form might have worsened.
Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferro Carril Oeste's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia y Esgrima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Gimnasia y Esgrima - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
5. Chacon M.
25. Bettiga L.
11. Forestier V.
12. Gallegos R.
2. Inyaco F.
4. Lezcano E.
14. Rivero C.
10. Pinero F.
12. Toretta E.
8. Zezular F.
Substitutes
88. Balbo G.
5. Defelippo J.
10. Carrasco S.
14. Diez A.
3. Centeno J.
9. Hernandez K.
9. Dato M.
6. Martinez J.
0. Okafor O.
13. Rodriguez C.
4. Santacroce N.
11. Rodriguez F.
33. Stevens B.
0. Tamagusuku T.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Ferro Basquet may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
In this matchup, Gimnasia is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Gimnasia in today's match, at odds of 1.35.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1603:1532 (averaging 80.2:76.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gimnasia against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 811:717 goals (averaging 81.1:71.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
PCT
5
Gimnasia
7
5
2
552:526
0.714
13
Ferro
6
2
4
492:513
0.333
Last Results with these Odds
Ferro Carril Oeste - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.39%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Chacon M. 
Bettiga L. 
Inyaco F. 
Centeno J. 
Okafor O. 
Stevens B. 
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