Match Info

Liga A

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Socios Fundadores (Comodoro Rivadavia)


	Gimnasia y Esgrima		Instituto Córdoba

	1	2
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.35	3
	1.35	3.35
	1.35	2.94
	1.36	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)	2.98 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima
68.5%

Instituto Córdoba
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Instituto Córdoba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gimnasia y Esgrima - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Carabali B.	10. Copello N.
6. Cisneros A.	11. Giuliani L.
9. Dato M.	13. Monacchi T.
77. Grun F.	14. Saiz J.
12. Toretta E.	1. Vildoza L.
Substitutes
20. Ayala V.	34. Caicedo J.
10. Carrasco S.	2. Garello V.
3. Centeno J.	3. Moussa F.
5. Chacon M.	0. Pomare K.
30. Cosolito M.	4. Salvetti L.
11. Horton K.	20. Schattmann L.
14. Rivero C.	5. Whelan G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia won 1.

Gimnasia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Instituto is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Instituto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Instituto has had a series of home games.

Gimnasia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1583:1641. (average 79.2:82.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 713:700. (average 79.2:77.8).

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Gimnasia: 16.29% Instituto de Cordoba: 4.61%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
8	Gimnasia	4	2	2	314:311	0.500
11	Instituto de Cordoba	2	1	1	144:146	0.500

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima
Argentinian LNB
08.04.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Unión Santa Fe	90:81 ✺
30.03.26	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Gimnasia y Esgrima	73:81 ✺
28.03.26	Oberá TC - Gimnasia y Esgrima	83:84 OT ✺
22.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Atlético Platense	81:78 ✺
18.03.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Atenas	90:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW
- Instituto AC Córdoba Basketball
Argentinian LNB
03.04.26	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Platense	83:70 ✺
29.03.26	Instituto Córdoba - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	68:83 ✺
27.03.26	Atenas - Instituto Córdoba	73:85 ✺
23.03.26	Instituto Córdoba - Independiente de Oliva	89:78 ✺
16.03.26	Instituto Córdoba - Regatas Corrientes	97:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
23.10.25	Instituto Córdoba - Gimnasia y Esgrima	85:70
11.05.25	Instituto Córdoba - Gimnasia y Esgrima	90:78
21.01.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Instituto Córdoba	72:74
03.04.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Instituto Córdoba	83:71
Basketball South American League
28.11.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Instituto Córdoba	68:81
Argentinian LNB
25.11.23	Instituto Córdoba - Gimnasia y Esgrima	87:69
21.01.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima - Instituto Córdoba	80:84

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