Match Info

CROATIA: PREMIJER LIGA - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 2

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday

Location: GSD Velika Gorica (Velika Gorica)


	Gorica		Alkar

	1	2
	1.11	5.25
	1.1	6.34
	1.11	6
	1.1	5.95
	1.13	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.4)	5.75 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gorica
83.8%

Alkar
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gorica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gorica's performance.

Alkar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alkar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gorica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alkar than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alkar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gorica - Alkar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:78

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gorica won 3.

Recent matches Gorica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alkar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alkar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gorica is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Gorica won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1440-1314.

Including matches at home between the teams Gorica won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 843-691.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Gorica
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
19.03.23	Zabok - Gorica	77:86 ✺
Adriatic League 2
11.03.23	Gorica - Široki Brijeg	78:88 ✺
08.03.23	Šenčur - Gorica	74:72 ✺
06.03.23	Gorica - TFT Skopje	83:64 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
04.03.23	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	87:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWW
- KK Alkar
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
18.03.23	Alkar - Bosco	72:80 ✺
10.03.23	Virtus Zagreb - Alkar	100:87 ✺
06.03.23	Alkar - KK Zadar	83:100 ✺
13.02.23	KK Split - Alkar	91:67 ✺
04.02.23	Alkar - Škrljevo	86:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
07.01.23	Gorica - Alkar	93:101 OT (89:89)
08.10.22	Alkar - Gorica	77:75
08.12.21	Alkar - Gorica	71:76
25.09.21	Gorica - Alkar	90:73
02.05.21	Gorica - Alkar	91:81
09.01.21	Alkar - Gorica	73:74
28.12.20	Gorica - Alkar	98:75

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