Match Info

FRANCE: FRENCH CUP - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 14 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stade des Flandres (Dunkerque)


	Gravelines		Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez

	1	2
	1.13	5.5
	1.14	5
	1.15	4.75	Watch
	1.18	4.12
	1.18	4.83
	1.17	4.5
	1.14	5.37
	1.13	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.3)	4.91 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gravelines
81%

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gravelines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gravelines's performance.

Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gravelines than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gravelines that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gravelines - Élan Béarnais Pau Orthez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:73

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gravelines won 1.

Recent matches Gravelines is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pau-Orthez is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gravelines could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gravelines is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Gravelines won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 1562-1691.

Including matches at home between the teams Gravelines won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 725-758.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BCM Gravelines
French LNB
10.02.24	Gravelines - ADA Blois	82:73 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
06.02.24	Gravelines - Nymburk	74:71 ✺
French LNB
04.02.24	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Gravelines	79:63 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
31.01.24	Basket Zaragoza - Gravelines	101:90 ✺
French LNB
27.01.24	Gravelines - Dijon	71:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW
- Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez
French Elite 2
09.02.24	Hermine de Nantes Atlantique - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	73:77 ✺
06.02.24	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - ALM Évreux Basket	82:73 ✺
02.02.24	Antibes - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	82:75 ✺
30.01.24	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Orléans Loiret	76:64 ✺
26.01.24	Provence Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	90:97 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
15.04.23	Gravelines - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	70:58
19.11.22	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Gravelines	91:80
French Cup Basketball
27.03.22	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Gravelines	88:85
French LNB
19.03.22	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Gravelines	87:82
23.12.21	Gravelines - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	90:95
15.06.21	Gravelines - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	80:100
29.05.21	Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez - Gravelines	80:64

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