Match Info

CBA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Dongguan Basketball Center (Dongguan)


	Guangdong Southern Tigers		Beijing Ducks

	1	2
	2.35	1.54	Watch
	2.25	1.58
	2.42	1.52
	2.1	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.35	1.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.89)	1.59 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangdong Southern Tigers
41.1%

Beijing Ducks
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong Southern Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangdong Southern Tigers's form might have worsened.

Beijing Ducks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beijing Ducks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong Southern Tigers than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangdong Southern Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Ducks than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beijing Ducks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks Predictions

Users Predictions: Guangdong Southern Tigers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:91

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Lineups


5. Chen Jiazheng	1. Chen Ying-Chun
24. Choi Young-Hee	10. German E.
18. Du Runwang	19. Jianiyou Taruike
3. Hu Mingxuan	0. McGee J.
16. Jiao Boqiao	27. Qi Z.
22. McCall T.	9. Raymond
10. Queen T.	14. Spellman O.
31. Rakocevic N.	31. Williams A.
0. Sullinger J.	7. Zeng F.
28. Wang S.	20. Zhai Xiaochuan
2. Xu Jie	16. Zhang Cairen
25. Zhang Haojia	24. Zhao Rui
Coaches
. Feng Du	. Xu Limin

Preview

Beijing Ducks leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guangdong won 1.

In recent matches, Guangdong has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beijing is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Guangdong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Beijing will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guangdong won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1945:1869. (average 97.3:93.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Guangdong won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 971:911. (average 97.1:91.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong Southern Tigers Basketball
CBA
06.05.26	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	102:94 ✺
03.05.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	90:80 ✺
01.05.26	Guangzhou Long-Lions - Guangdong Southern Tigers	64:85 ✺
28.04.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Guangzhou Long-Lions	76:93 ✺
24.04.26	Fujian Xunxing - Guangdong Southern Tigers	93:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLL
- Beijing Ducks
CBA
06.05.26	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	102:94 ✺
24.04.26	Beijing Ducks - Jilin Northeast Tigers	105:55 ✺
19.04.26	Qingdao DoubleStar - Beijing Ducks	76:107 ✺
17.04.26	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Beijing Ducks	76:92 ✺
14.04.26	Beijing Ducks - Qingdao DoubleStar	87:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CBA
06.05.26	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	102:94
27.03.26	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks	93:96
01.01.26	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	105:74
12.12.24	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks	106:90
25.10.24	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	105:101
27.03.24	Beijing Ducks - Guangdong Southern Tigers	92:110
19.01.24	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Beijing Ducks	104:87

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